Naomi Osaka vs Anhelina KalininaMadrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
#14WTA
1987ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 21 April 2026
clay
#66WTA
1827ELO
1806Clay ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWW
Osaka N.
6-1 6-3
Kalinina A.
Osaka N.
662
Kalinina A.
130

Naomi Osaka defeated Anhelina Kalinina 6-1 6-3 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kalinina A.

Kalinina A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Serve advantage — Kalinina A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
50%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
82
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
82
Break points won·Even
97
97
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+80 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1806
6.4Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1827
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
95

Osaka N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Kalinina A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw