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Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreeva — WTA Finals Final

WTA FinalsFinalHardSun 15 Nov · 12:00Indian Wells Tennis Garden · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Andreeva M.
26%74%

Clear edge for Andreeva M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Svitolina E.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Andreeva M.6.2/10
Even match
Why
Surface+4 Hard Elo edgeInformative
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2070Informative
Recent run3-match win streakInformative
Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on hardSupports Andreeva M.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Andreeva M.
ELO2 158
Hard ELO2 010
Last 107–3
Age32
Height174 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $31.2M2026 $4.5M
ELO2 206
Hard ELO2 035
Last 109–1
Age19
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $13.3M2026 $5.7M

Elina Svitolina faces Mirra Andreeva in the WTA Finals final on hard. Mirra Andreeva holds the paper edge — ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–1.

Key context

Common opponents

23 shared · last 12 months
All 23 opponents →

Svitolina E. and Andreeva M. faced 23 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Svitolina E. went 25–10 (71%) against them, Andreeva M. 21–10 (68%). Results against comparable opponents are close (5 : 8 better-results split).

25–1071%Svitolina E. · better vs 5Record vs common opponents21–1068%Andreeva M. · better vs 8
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
50–30Sets47–25
410–321Games383–291
3–4Tiebreaks5–5
9–2Deciding sets5–5
Show 20 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Andreeva M. leads 2–1
Full H2H →
12

Evidence

Svitolina E.Andreeva M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–39–1 (ahead)
Season win rate73% (54–20)77% (55–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO21582206 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO20102035 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 66 vs 70 matches
1st-serve points won66%69% (ahead)
Return points won47%48% (ahead)
Aces / match3.4 (ahead)3.1
ClutchLast 66 vs 70 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)60%

When it starts

Indian Wells Tennis Garden · Next on · Starting at 12:00 PM
  • 1This match: Svitolina E. v Andreeva M.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Indian Wells Tennis Garden · 12:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast24°C · Clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity41%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Svitolina E.Andreeva M.
1Days since last match1
4Matches · 7 days4
81Games · 7 days66 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days4
81Games · 14 days66 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreeva — WTA Finals Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/andreeva-vs-svitolina-wta-finals-f?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).