Elina Svitolina vs Amanda AnisimovaToronto Round of 16

Toronto · WTA · Round of 16
#10WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWLWWL
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
hard
#9WTA
1914ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLWLWW
Svitolina E.
vs
Anisimova A.

Elina Svitolina faces Amanda Anisimova in the Toronto round of 16 on hard. Elina Svitolina holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 4–1, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage.

Around the match

  • I'm just trying to find my game, and find myself on the court. I feel like it's been a really long year. I felt like I was myself again on the court. I was kind of missing that for the last few months.

    Anisimova A.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Svitolina E.51%
Anisimova A.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
17 common opponents · Svitolina E. 16–6 · Anisimova A. 13–9
Both lost · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+118 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1880
7.0Overall Elo 2070
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1914
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

43 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
55%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Svitolina E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Anisimova A.

Anisimova A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
94
Break points saved·Even
83
84
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
95
Tiebreaks·Even
92
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
80

Svitolina E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d) · Anisimova A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 39%

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27MontrealR16hardElina Svitolina6-4 6-1
2021-09-27Chicago 2R32hardElina Svitolina6-4 6-3
2021-05-10RomeR32clayElina Svitolina2-6 6-3 6-4
2020-02-24DohaR32hardAmanda Anisimova6-3 6-3
2018-08-13CincinnatiR16hardElina Svitolina6-4 6-4

Draw