Elina Svitolina vs Solana SierraUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#9WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Louis Armstrong Stadium · 2nd on
#91WTA
1783ELO
1657Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWWL
Svitolina E.
6-1 6-2
Sierra S.
Svitolina E.
662
Sierra S.
120

Elina Svitolina defeated Solana Sierra in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 6-2 in favor of Svitolina. Svitolina converted 80 percent of her break points and won four service breaks to Sierra's zero.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
55%
Return points won·Even
46%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
86
Break points saved·Even
83
81
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
92
Tiebreaks·Even
91
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Svitolina E.88%
Sierra S.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Svitolina E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.3+340 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Hard Elo 1657
8.6Overall Elo 2070
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1783
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.81 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
97

Svitolina E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Sierra S.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 93%

Draw