Mirra Andreeva vs Elina SvitolinaIndian Wells Quarter-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Quarter-final
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#8WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Andreeva M.
7-5 6-3
Svitolina E.
Andreeva M.
762
Svitolina E.
530

Mirra Andreeva defeated Elina Svitolina 7-5 6-3 in the Indian Wells quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elina Svitolina came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32, but Mirra Andreeva had arrived on a 6-match winning run. Mirra Andreeva claimed a first win over Elina Svitolina in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardElina Svitolina6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Andreeva M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Andreeva M.Svitolina E.
46
Serve
48
96
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
89
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
94
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1Hard Elo 1994
Surface ELO
4.9+4 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 2074
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 2070
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
5.3
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
5.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
98

Andreeva M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Svitolina E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw