Elina Svitolina vs Maya JointUS Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
#9WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
hard
#72WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWWWL
Svitolina E.
6-2 6-7 6-4
Joint M.
Svitolina E.
66662
Joint M.
27841

Elina Svitolina advanced to the next round of the US Open with a victory over Maya Joint in the Round of 64. Svitolina won the match 6-2, 6-7, 6-4. In the match, Svitolina hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, while Joint hit 3 aces and 6 double faults; Svitolina converted 53% of her break points and Joint converted 45%, with Svitolina securing 8 service breaks to Joint's 5.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • Svitolina shut down injury concerns with a dominant first-round performance, dropping just three games, and is in strong form heading into round two.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

  • Match story: Elina Svitolina closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
90
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
76
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
77
Tiebreaks·
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Svitolina E.86%
Joint M.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Svitolina E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.3+340 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Hard Elo 1657
10.0Overall Elo 2070
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1659
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
83

Svitolina E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Joint M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw