Maya Joint vs Tereza ValentovaLivesport Prague Open Round of 16

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Round of 16
#77WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWLWL
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
hard
LIVESPORT ARENA · 3rd on
#63WTA
1818ELO
1797Hard ELO
$684kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10
WLWWLLWWLL
Joint M.
vs
Valentova T.

Maya Joint faces Tereza Valentova in the Livesport Prague Open round of 16 on hard. Tereza Valentova holds the paper edge — ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Joint M.26%
Valentova T.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Valentova T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1657
Surface ELO
6.7+139 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1659
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1818
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.13 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

10 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
53%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Joint M.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Valentova T.

Valentova T.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Serve advantage — Valentova T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
83

Joint M.: 19 days rest · Valentova T.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardTereza Valentova6-4 6-4

Draw