Mirra Andreeva vs Jessica Pegula — WTA Finals Semi-final
Why
Surface+64 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Pegula J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2096Against the prediction · Pegula J.
Recent run3-match win streakSupports Andreeva M.
This eventReached the semis here last yearAgainst the prediction · Pegula J.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Andreeva M.
ELO2 189
Hard ELO2 016
Last 108–2
Age19
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $13.3M2026 $5.7M
ELO2 206
Hard ELO2 077
Last 107–3
Age32
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $27.6M2026 $5.8M
Mirra Andreeva faces Jessica Pegula in the WTA Finals semi-final on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Mirra Andreeva comes in with 1 days of rest and 47 games in 14d, vs Jessica Pegula's 2 and 86.
- Serve & return: Jessica Pegula brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 76), Mirra Andreeva the stronger return game (Return Rating 84).
- Last match: Mirra Andreeva dropped just 3 games past Diana Shnaider.
Common opponents
18 shared · last 12 monthsAndreeva M. and Pegula J. faced 18 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Andreeva M. went 18–11 (62%) against them, Pegula J. 21–13 (62%). Results against comparable opponents are close (5 : 5 better-results split).
18–1162%Andreeva M. · better vs 5Record vs common opponents21–1362%Pegula J. · better vs 5
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
41–30Sets47–36
360–309Games406–376
2–5Tiebreaks5–4
8–5Deciding sets10–5
vs Rybakina E.#1L5-7 1-6Stuttgart · clayL6-2 3-6 4-6Miami · hard
vs Sabalenka A.#2W6-4 6-0WTA Finals · hardL5-7 2-6US Open · hard
vs Gauff C.#4L6-2 6-7(7) 2-6US Open · hardL2-6 4-6Cincinnati · hard
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vs Svitolina E.#6L2-6 4-6Australian Open · hardW6-2 6-4Dubai · hard
vs Noskova L.#8W5-7 6-4 7-5Brisbane · hardL4-6 6-4 3-6Berlin · grass
vs Swiatek I.#9W3-6 6-4 6-3Stuttgart · clayL1-6 2-6Rome · clay- vs Kostyuk M.#10L3-6 5-7Madrid · clayL1-6 4-6Madrid · clay
vs Shnaider D.#11W6-3 6-2Adelaide · hardW3-6 6-3 6-2Charleston · clay
vs Cirstea S.#16W6-0 6-3Roland Garros · clayW6-2 4-6 7-5Cincinnati · hard
vs Fernandez L.#18L2-6 5-7Singapore · hardW1-6 6-4 6-3US Open · hard- vs Anisimova A.#23L6-2 5-7 6-7Dubai · hardW1-6 6-4 6-3Dubai · hard
vs Ostapenko J.#25W5-7 6-2 6-4Stuttgart · clayW4-6 6-3 6-2Indian Wells · hard- vs Potapova A.#28W1-6 6-4 6-3Linz · hardW7-6(6) 6-2Rome · clay
vs Vekic D.#39W4-6 6-3 6-0Australian Open · hardW4-6 6-2 6-3Indian Wells · hard- vs Siniakova K.#48L6-4 6-7 3-6Indian Wells · hardW6-2 6-4Berlin · grass
- vs Ruse G.#61W6-4 6-1Linz · hardW6-3 6-2US Open · hard
- vs Cristian J.#81W7-5 6-3Dubai · hardW6-4 6-1Miami · hard
- vs Kessler M.#109W6-1 6-7 6-1Miami · hardW6-0 6-2Australian Open · hard
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Andreeva M.Pegula J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)7–3
Season win rate77% (54–16)78% (52–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO21892206 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO20162077 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 69 vs 67 matches
1st-serve points won68%70% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)45%
Aces / match3.24.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 69 vs 67 matches
Break points saved60% (ahead)58%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Mirra Andreeva vs Jessica Pegula — WTA Finals Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-14/andreeva-vs-pegula-wta-finals-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 14 November 2026).