Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaMadrid Final

Madrid · WTA · Final
#13WTA
2057ELO
1992Clay ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 21 April 2026
clay
#5WTA
2074ELO
2034Clay ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Kostyuk M.
6-3 7-5
Andreeva M.
Kostyuk M.
672
Andreeva M.
350

Marta Kostyuk defeated Mirra Andreeva 6-3 7-5 in the Madrid final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Mirra Andreeva came in ranked #5, defending last year's quarter-final, but Marta Kostyuk had arrived on a 7-match winning run. Marta Kostyuk extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Marta Kostyuk closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-04Roland GarrosSFclayMirra Andreeva1-6 3-6
2026-01-04BrisbaneQFhardMarta Kostyuk7-6(7) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Andreeva M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kostyuk M.Andreeva M.
61
Serve
62
100
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
50%
47%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.9
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
95
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1992
Surface ELO
5.4+42 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 2074
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
7.4
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
5.3
4.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
89

Kostyuk M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 93 games (7d) · Andreeva M.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw

Final
Kostyuk M.[26]
Andreeva M.[9]
6-37-5