Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaBrisbane Quarter-final

Brisbane · WTA · Quarter-final
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Kostyuk M.
7-6 6-3
Andreeva M.
Kostyuk M.
7962
Andreeva M.
6730

Marta Kostyuk defeated Mirra Andreeva 7-6 6-3 in the Brisbane quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mirra Andreeva came in ranked #5. Marta Kostyuk extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Marta Kostyuk closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-04Roland GarrosSFclayMirra Andreeva1-6 3-6
2026-04-21MadridFclayMarta Kostyuk6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Andreeva M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kostyuk M.Andreeva M.
53
Serve
46
57
Return
96

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
50%
47%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.9
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
94
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 90 days (−1.2)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 83 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1968
Surface ELO
5.3+26 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 2074
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
69
93

Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Andreeva M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw