Jessica Pegula vs Amanda AnisimovaDubai Semi-final

Dubai · WTA · Semi-final
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 15 February 2026
hard
#9WTA
1914ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Pegula J.
1-6 6-4 6-3
Anisimova A.
Pegula J.
1662
Anisimova A.
6431

Jessica Pegula defeated Amanda Anisimova 1-6 6-4 6-3 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenQFhardJessica Pegula6-2 7-6(1)
2024-08-05TorontoFhardJessica Pegula6-3 2-6 6-1
2024-04-01CharlestonR32clayJessica Pegula3-6 6-4 7-6(3)
2020-08-24CincinnatiR32hardJessica Pegula7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Anisimova A.

Anisimova A.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Anisimova A.
68
Serve
51
73
Return
72

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
62%
42%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
96
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
95
Tiebreaks·Even
96
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+178 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1880
5.8Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1914
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.2
Surface form
6.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.6
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
89

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Anisimova A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw

Semi-finals
Pegula J.[4]
Anisimova A.[2]
1-66-46-3
Svitolina E.[7]
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-7136-4