Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula — US Open Semi-final
BLR1
USA3
Sabalenka A.
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jessica Pegula in the US Open semifinals, winning in straight sets 7-5, 6-2. Sabalenka served four aces to Pegula's two and committed two double faults to none for Pegula. The two players did not convert any break points and did not lose any service breaks.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
Around the match
“Jessica is a really challenging player. I'm loving playing against her, because it's a battle, because it's a fight, and I love being under pressure.”
Sabalenka A.Roland-Garros 2026 ↗“I've always tried to carry myself as just a normal person because that's to me how I am. I'm definitely aware that I was very privileged and had a lot of good opportunities, and I didn't want to waste those.”
Pegula J.sports.yahoo.com ↗“My dad is super blue-collar. He grew up with nothing and built his way up, and that mindset was instilled in my family from a young age.”
Pegula J.sports.yahoo.com ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.
Key context
- Match story: Aryna Sabalenka closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.
Head to head
11–4| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Berlin | SF | grass | Jessica Pegula | 4-6 7-6 0-6 |
| 2025-11-04 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-10-06 | Wuhan | SF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 2-6 6-4 7-6 |
| 2025-08-25 | US Open | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Miami | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2024-08-19 | Cincinnati | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | RR | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-11-04 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-10-31 | Fort Worth Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2020-08-24 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Sabalenka A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadSabalenka A.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About