Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia PotapovaRome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
#4WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 May 2026 ·
clay
#28WTA
1904ELO
1882Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWW
Pegula J.
7-6 6-2
Potapova A.
Pegula J.
762
Potapova A.
620

Jessica Pegula defeated Anastasia Potapova 7-6 6-2 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's round of 32. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-07WuhanR32hardJessica Pegula6-2 2-0 RET
2023-03-20MiamiQFhardJessica Pegula4-6 6-3 7-6(2)
2023-03-06Indian WellsR32hardJessica Pegula3-6 6-4 7-5
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardJessica Pegula6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Pegula J.Potapova A.
67
Serve
22
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
81
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
89
Break points won·Slight edge
99
88
Deciding sets·Even
100
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+60 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1882
7.9Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1904
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.8
Surface form
7.9
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
68
98

Pegula J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final