Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapova — Miami Quarter-final

Miami · WTA · Quarter-final
Jessica Pegula
USA3
Jessica Pegula
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
Anastasia Potapova
RUS27
Anastasia Potapova
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Pegula J.
4-6 6-3 7-6
Potapova A.
Pegula J.
46772
Potapova A.
63621

Jessica Pegula defeated Anastasia Potapova 4-6 6-3 7-6 in the Miami quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's semi-final. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

4–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-11RomeR16clayJessica Pegula7-6 6-2
2024-10-07WuhanR32hardJessica Pegula6-2 2-0 RET
2023-03-06Indian WellsR32hardJessica Pegula3-6 6-4 7-5
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardJessica Pegula6-2 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Potapova A.
68
Serve
11
73
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Pegula J.Potapova A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 164). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pegula J.Potapova A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
81
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
89
Break points won·Slight edge
99
88
Deciding sets·Even
100
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pegula J.
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Potapova A.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+254 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1804
7.9Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1904
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.1
Surface form
6.6
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
0.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.8
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pegula J.Potapova A.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
99

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw

Final
Kvitova P.[15]
Rybakina E.[10]
7-6146-2
Semi-finals
Kvitova P.[15]
Cirstea S.
7-56-4
Rybakina E.[10]
Pegula J.[3]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Kvitova P.[15]
Alexandrova E.[18]
6-43-66-3
Cirstea S.
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[10]
Trevisan M.[25]
6-36-0
Pegula J.[3]
Potapova A.[27]
4-66-37-62
R16
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[16]
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Andreescu B.
7-600-2
Trevisan M.[25]
Ostapenko J.[24]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[10]
Mertens E.
6-46-3
Pegula J.[3]
Linette M.[20]
6-17-5
Kvitova P.[15]
Gracheva V.
7-57-65
Cirstea S.
Vondrousova M.
7-636-4
Potapova A.[27]
Zheng Q.[23]
6-47-64
R32
Trevisan M.[25]
Liu C.
4-67-56-4
Ostapenko J.[24]
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-24-66-3
Rybakina E.[10]
Badosa P.[21]
3-67-56-3
Mertens E.
Martic P.[29]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[3]
Collins D.[30]
6-17-60
Sabalenka A.[2]
Bouzkova M.[31]
6-16-2
Andreescu B.
Kenin S.
6-46-4
Linette M.[20]
Azarenka V.[14]
7-632-66-4
Cirstea S.
Muchova K.
7-56-1
Zheng Q.[23]
Samsonova L.[12]
5-77-656-3
Potapova A.[27]
Gauff C.[6]
6-787-56-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Bencic B.[9]
7-686-3
Kvitova P.[15]
Vekic D.[22]
6-47-63
Krejcikova B.[16]
Keys M.[19]
7-646-3
Gracheva V.
Frech M.
6-16-2
Vondrousova M.
Pliskova K.[17]
6-16-2
R64
Mertens E.
Kasatkina D.[8]
4-66-26-2
Azarenka V.[14]
Giorgi C.
6-36-1
Kenin S.
Kalinina A.[28]
6-36-4
Bencic B.[9]
Fernandez L.
6-16-1
Kvitova P.[15]
Noskova L.
6-36-0
Vekic D.[22]
Brengle M.
4-66-46-3
Krejcikova B.[16]
Sasnovich A.
6-36-2
Frech M.
Andreeva E.
4-66-16-1
Liu C.
Grabher J.
6-46-3
Linette M.[20]
Rodina E.
6-36-4
Collins D.[30]
Tomova V.
7-636-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Rogers S.
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Zhu L.[32]
6-46-2
Trevisan M.[25]
Hibino N.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[24]
Bjorklund M.
6-36-4
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Martincova T.
7-640-66-0
Badosa P.[21]
Siegemund L.
7-624-66-2
Martic P.[29]
Wang X.
6-36-3
Samsonova L.[12]
Golubic V.
6-16-1
Zheng Q.[23]
Begu I.
2-66-16-1
Andreescu B.
Sakkari M.[7]
5-76-36-4
Gracheva V.
Jabeur O.[4]
6-26-2
Pliskova K.[17]
Wang X.
6-26-4
Vondrousova M.
Kudermetova V.[11]
6-46-2
Keys M.[19]
Montgomery R.
6-46-4
Pegula J.[3]
Sebov K.
6-36-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Kalinskaya A.
7-54-66-3
Cirstea S.
Garcia C.[5]
6-26-3
Potapova A.[27]
Kostyuk M.
6-16-3
Gauff C.[6]
Marino R.
6-46-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Townsend T.
6-35-76-4
Bouzkova M.[31]
Blinkova A.
3-66-46-3
R128
Liu C.
Siniakova K.
3-63-3
Giorgi C.
Kanepi K.
7-646-747-64
Brengle M.
Anisimova A.
7-655-2
Kenin S.
Hunter S.
6-07-65
Gracheva V.
Zanevska M.
6-17-5
Wang X.
Fruhvirtova B.
6-07-5
Siegemund L.
Sherif M.
6-36-4
Blinkova A.
Niemeier J.
6-46-1
Andreeva E.
Krueger A.
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-46-2
Martincova T.
Korpatsch T.
4-66-46-3
Hibino N.
Kovinic D.
6-36-3
Sebov K.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-24-66-4
Tomova V.
Schmiedlova A.
7-56-2
Rodina E.
Pera B.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Baptiste H.
7-636-1
Kostyuk M.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Raducanu E.
6-33-66-2
Townsend T.
Bondar A.
6-46-0
Fernandez L.
Tsurenko L.
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Teichmann J.
6-06-2
Vondrousova M.
Maria T.
6-46-1
Sasnovich A.
Galfi D.
6-37-65
Montgomery R.
Bogdan A.
3-66-36-3
Marino R.
Putintseva Y.
7-646-2
Begu I.
Eala A.
6-27-5
Cirstea S.
Contreras Gomez F.
7-666-2
Bjorklund M.
Paolini J.
4-66-46-4
Mertens E.
Parks A.
6-16-4
Noskova L.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Friedsam A.
3-66-46-2
Rogers S.
Stephens S.
6-43-66-2