Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva — WTA Finals Round Robin
Why
Surface+208 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sabalenka A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2220Supports Sabalenka A.
Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on hardSupports Sabalenka A.
This eventReached the final here last yearSupports Sabalenka A.
ELO2 256
Hard ELO2 168
Last 107–3
Age28
Height182 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $53.3M2026 $8.1M
ELO2 158
Hard ELO1 980
Last 107–3
Age19
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $13.3M2026 $5.7M
Aryna Sabalenka faces Mirra Andreeva in the WTA Finals round robin on hard. Aryna Sabalenka holds the paper edge — ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's final. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Serve & return: Aryna Sabalenka leads on Serve Rating (100), Mirra Andreeva on Return Rating (80).
- Head-to-head: Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 4–2, 2–1 on hard. Last met at Indian Wells 2025.
- Last match: Mirra Andreeva handed Elina Svitolina a second-set bagel in a 6–4 6–0 win.
Common opponents
17 shared · last 12 monthsSabalenka A. and Andreeva M. faced 17 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Sabalenka A. went 20–7 (74%) against them, Andreeva M. 16–12 (57%). Sabalenka A. came out better against 7 of 17 comparable opponents, Andreeva M. against 4.
20–774%Sabalenka A. · better vs 7Record vs common opponents16–1257%Andreeva M. · better vs 4
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
45–18Sets38–30
343–276Games346–314
8–2Tiebreaks5–5
3–6Deciding sets6–6
vs Rybakina E.#1W6-4 6-3Miami · hardL5-7 1-6Stuttgart · clay
vs Gauff C.#4W6-2 4-6 6-3Miami · hardL6-4 2-6 4-6Rome · clay
vs Svitolina E.#6W6-2 6-3Australian Open · hardL2-6 4-6Australian Open · hard
Show 14 more ▾Show less ▴
vs Noskova L.#8W6-3 6-4Indian Wells · hardW5-7 6-4 7-5Brisbane · hard- vs Kostyuk M.#10W6-4 6-3Brisbane · hardL6-7 3-6Brisbane · hard
vs Shnaider D.#11L6-3 5-7 0-6Roland Garros · clayW6-3 6-2Adelaide · hard
vs Cirstea S.#16L6-2 3-6 5-7Rome · clayW6-0 6-3Roland Garros · clay
vs Mboko V.#21W6-1 7-6Australian Open · hardW6-3 6-1Adelaide · hard
vs Zheng Q.#22W6-3 6-4Miami · hardL5-7 4-6Beijing · hard
vs Ostapenko J.#25W6-4 6-4Wimbledon · grassW5-7 6-2 6-4Stuttgart · clay- vs Potapova A.#28W7-6(4) 7-6(7)Australian Open · hardW1-6 6-4 6-3Linz · hard
- vs Bartunkova N.#30L4-6 3-6Beijing · hardW6-2 6-2Beijing · hard
- vs Alexandrova E.#32W6-4 6-4Berlin · grassL3-6 4-6Bad Homburg · grass
- vs Baptiste H.#46L6-2 2-6 6-7Madrid · clayW6-4 7-6Madrid · clay
- vs Krejcikova B.#49W6-2 6-3Rome · clayL6-4 5-7 4-6Wimbledon · grass
- vs Cristian J.#81W6-4 6-1Indian Wells · hardW7-5 6-3Dubai · hard
- vs Kessler M.#109W6-1 7-6Wimbledon · grassW6-1 6-7 6-1Miami · hard
Head-to-head
6 meetings · Sabalenka A. leads 4–242
Hard: Sabalenka A. leads 2–1 · Clay: Sabalenka A. leads 2–1
- Andreeva M.March 2025Indian WellsHard2-6 6-4 6-3
- Sabalenka A.January 2025Australian OpenHard6-1 6-2
- Sabalenka A.December 2024BrisbaneHard6-3 6-2
- Andreeva M.May 2024Roland GarrosClay6-7 6-4 6-4
- Sabalenka A.April 2024MadridClay6-1 6-4
Evidence
Sabalenka A.Andreeva M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate82% (50–11) (ahead)76% (52–16)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2256 (ahead)2158
Hard-court ELO2168 (ahead)1980
Serve vs returnLast 59 vs 67 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)68%
Return points won44%47% (ahead)
Aces / match5.1 (ahead)3.2
ClutchLast 59 vs 67 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)60%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva — WTA Finals Round Robin", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-11/andreeva-vs-sabalenka-wta-finals-rr?utm_source=cite (as of 11 November 2026).