Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva — Brisbane Semi-final

Brisbane · WTA · Semi-final
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
Mirra Andreeva
RUS8
Mirra Andreeva
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Sabalenka A.
6-3 6-2
Andreeva M.
Sabalenka A.
662
Andreeva M.
320

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Mirra Andreeva 6-3 6-2 in the Brisbane semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsFhardMirra Andreeva2-6 6-4 6-3
2025-01-13Australian OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQFclayMirra Andreeva6-7(5) 6-4 6-4
2024-04-22MadridQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2023-04-24MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Andreeva M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Andreeva M.
96
Serve
46
39
Return
96

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Andreeva M.
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 135). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Andreeva M.
Clutch Rating·Even
98
94
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Andreeva M.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 77 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
8.0+208 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1994
7.6Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 2074
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
7.9
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Andreeva M.
Freshness·Slight edge
88
93

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Andreeva M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[2]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-06-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kudermetova P.
4-66-36-2
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[2]
Noskova L.
6-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Azarenka V.[8]
6-26-4
Kudermetova P.
Kalinina A.
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Andreeva M.[8]
6-36-2
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[2]
Potapova A.[11]
6-1
Azarenka V.[8]
Ostapenko J.[3]
6-33-67-5
Noskova L.
Andreeva M.
7-56-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kasatkina D.[5]
6-16-4
Kalinina A.
Birrell K.
4-66-17-5
Andreeva M.[8]
Jabeur O.
6-47-62
Kudermetova P.
Krueger A.
7-656-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-4
R16
Ostapenko J.[3]
Pliskova K.[16]
6-24-66-3
Potapova A.[11]
Kudermetova V.[6]
7-56-776-4
Noskova L.
Riera J.
6-16-746-3
Azarenka V.[8]
Burel C.
7-56-2
Kasatkina D.[5]
Linette M.[9]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zhu L.[15]
6-16-0
Andreeva M.
Rodionova A.
6-16-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Mertens E.[13]
6-16-0
Kudermetova P.
Kasatkina D.[3]
1-66-27-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Putintseva Y.[15]
7-626-4
Bouzkova M.
Azarenka V.[10]
6-46-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Noskova L.[12]
6-36-0
Jabeur O.
Avanesyan E.
6-41-66-4
Kalinina A.
Yuan Y.
6-16-4
Krueger A.
Lamens S.
7-56-0
Birrell K.
Potapova A.
7-626-2
R32
Pliskova K.[16]
Osaka N.
3-67-646-4
Kasatkina D.[5]
Kostyuk M.
6-36-4
Kudermetova V.[6]
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[3]
Giorgi C.
6-16-4
Mertens E.[13]
Stephens S.
2-66-16-3
Burel C.
Kalinina A.[12]
6-46-1
Riera J.
Alexandrova E.[7]
6-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-0
Azarenka V.[8]
Kalinskaya A.
6-17-68
Potapova A.[11]
Saville D.
6-43-66-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Gadecki O.
6-46-1
Linette M.[9]
Bucsa C.
6-37-5
Rodionova A.
Kenin S.[14]
7-57-67
Zhu L.[15]
Collins D.
1-66-37-67
Noskova L.
Cirstea S.[10]
6-44-66-4
Andreeva M.
Samsonova L.[4]
6-26-1
Noskova L.[12]
Todoni A.
6-16-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zarazua R.
6-46-0
Bouzkova M.
Ostapenko J.[7]
7-606-4
Kasatkina D.[3]
Stearns P.
7-674-67-5
Andreeva M.[8]
Blinkova A.
6-46-4
Krueger A.
Kalinskaya A.[6]
6-36-3
Azarenka V.[10]
Joint M.
6-756-26-4
Putintseva Y.[15]
Kessler M.
6-27-5
Yuan Y.
Kostyuk M.[9]
6-46-3
Kalinina A.
Shnaider D.[5]
6-34-66-1
Birrell K.
Navarro E.[2]
7-57-5
Jabeur O.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-36-2
Potapova A.
Yastremska D.[16]
7-56-4
Avanesyan E.
Badosa P.[4]
6-31-66-2
Lamens S.
Frech M.[11]
7-56-3
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-776-36-2
R64
Riera J.
Tomova V.
6-26-4
Gadecki O.
Birrell K.
4-66-06-4
Osaka N.
Korpatsch T.
6-37-69
Bucsa C.
Minnen G.
5-76-36-1
Bronzetti L.
Krueger A.
6-47-5
Kostyuk M.
Bogdan A.
4-66-36-3
Giorgi C.
Stearns P.
5-76-26-3
Burel C.
Sonmez Z.
6-46-2
Noskova L.
Babos T.
5-77-687-62
Andreeva M.
Shnaider D.
6-26-3
Schmiedlova A.
Dolehide C.
3-66-46-2
Saville D.
Yastremska D.
6-06-4
Stephens S.
Siniakova K.
7-56-3
Collins D.
Baptiste H.
6-14-66-3
Kalinskaya A.
Pera B.
6-26-1
Rodionova A.
Trevisan M.
6-36-2
Kalinina A.
Wang Y.
6-42-0
Potapova A.
Bogdan A.
2-66-42-0
Bouzkova M.
Gibson T.
7-653-66-3
Kudermetova P.
Wang X.
6-16-3
Joint M.
Inglis M.
6-36-4
Birrell K.
Hon P.
3-67-56-2
Krueger A.
Uchijima M.
6-31-66-3
Jabeur O.
Zheng S.
7-656-4
Zarazua R.
Tomova V.
6-06-3
Stearns P.
Kudermetova V.
6-26-3
Lamens S.
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Blinkova A.
Bejlek S.
6-17-65
Kessler M.
Linette M.
6-46-4
Avanesyan E.
Sramkova R.
1-66-26-2
Yuan Y.
Rus A.
6-26-4
Todoni A.
Bucsa C.
7-636-2