Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva — Madrid Round of 16

Madrid · WTA · Round of 16
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR2
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
Mirra Andreeva
RUS
Mirra Andreeva
#5WTA
2074ELO
2034Clay ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Sabalenka A.
6-3 6-1
Andreeva M.
Sabalenka A.
662
Andreeva M.
310

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Mirra Andreeva 6-3 6-1 in the Madrid round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 64. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsFhardMirra Andreeva2-6 6-4 6-3
2025-01-13Australian OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2024-12-30BrisbaneSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQFclayMirra Andreeva6-7(5) 6-4 6-4
2024-04-22MadridQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Andreeva M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sabalenka A.Andreeva M.
—
Serve
62
—
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Andreeva M.
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 167). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Andreeva M.
Clutch Rating·Even
98
94
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Andreeva M.
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 203 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.8+69 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 2034
7.6Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 2074
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Andreeva M.
Freshness·Slight edge
88
93

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Andreeva M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[2]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-33-66-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[2]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Kudermetova V.[12]
6-16-1
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Martic P.[27]
6-06-3
Kudermetova V.[12]
Pegula J.[3]
6-40-66-4
Sakkari M.[9]
Begu I.[31]
6-736-46-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Sherif M.
2-66-26-1
R16
Pegula J.[3]
Trevisan M.[18]
6-32-66-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Alexandrova E.[16]
6-46-736-3
Martic P.[27]
Krejcikova B.[11]
6-37-61
Kudermetova V.[12]
Kasatkina D.[8]
7-51-67-62
Sakkari M.[9]
Badosa P.[26]
6-46-4
Sherif M.
Mertens E.[24]
6-40-66-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Andreeva M.
6-36-1
Begu I.[31]
Samsonova L.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Alexandrova E.[16]
Zheng Q.[22]
5-76-46-2
Sakkari M.[9]
Masarova R.
3-66-36-3
Trevisan M.[18]
Parks A.
7-636-1
Andreeva M.
Linette M.[17]
6-36-3
Begu I.[31]
Rogers S.[33]
7-56-2
Krejcikova B.[11]
Wang X.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[2]
Osorio C.
6-47-5
Sherif M.
Garcia C.[5]
7-626-3
Martic P.[27]
Kalinskaya A.
6-34-66-3
Pegula J.[3]
Bouzkova M.[29]
6-47-62
Kasatkina D.[8]
Tsurenko L.
6-46-2
Samsonova L.[14]
Ostapenko J.[19]
6-26-0
Mertens E.[24]
Niemeier J.
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Pera B.[28]
6-36-2
Kudermetova V.[12]
Potapova A.[21]
7-635-76-3
Badosa P.[26]
Gauff C.[6]
6-36-0
R64
Pera B.[28]
Maria T.
6-16-3
Krejcikova B.[11]
Kovinic D.
6-34-66-0
Kalinskaya A.
Rybakina E.[7]
7-54-66-2
Trevisan M.[18]
Bouchard E.
6-27-5
Kudermetova V.[12]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-34-66-2
Tsurenko L.
Teichmann J.[25]
3-66-26-4
Badosa P.[26]
Cocciaretto E.
6-34-66-4
Begu I.[31]
Muchova K.
6-47-5
Rogers S.[33]
Bogdan A.
6-26-2
Osorio C.
Kostyuk M.[32]
3-66-46-3
Mertens E.[24]
Marino R.
6-36-1
Garcia C.[5]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-4
Andreeva M.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
7-666-3
Parks A.
Azarenka V.[15]
6-27-65
Zheng Q.[22]
Mcnally C.
6-47-63
Sabalenka A.[2]
Cirstea S.
6-46-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Grabher J.
6-36-2
Wang X.
Andreescu B.[23]
3-67-656-2
Martic P.[27]
Siegemund L.
7-666-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Rus A.
6-46-4
Niemeier J.
Kvitova P.[10]
7-696-1
Linette M.[17]
Vondrousova M.
7-614-66-4
Masarova R.
Vekic D.[20]
6-17-65
Gauff C.[6]
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-46-1
Samsonova L.[14]
Zanevska M.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[19]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-06-3
Pegula J.[3]
Frech M.
7-656-3
Potapova A.[21]
Cristian J.
7-53-66-2
Sherif M.
Kalinina A.[30]
6-27-63
Alexandrova E.[16]
Cornet A.
7-626-3
Bouzkova M.[29]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-746-3
R128
Grabher J.
Tomova V.
6-17-65
Mcnally C.
Galfi D.
4-66-06-3
Kalinskaya A.
Fruhvirtova B.
2-66-46-4
Bouchard E.
Yastremska D.
6-766-26-2
Masarova R.
Bucsa C.
6-35-76-4
Rus A.
Anisimova A.
7-56-2
Muchova K.
Kontaveit A.
6-26-2
Putintseva Y.
Liu C.
6-46-4
Niemeier J.
Wang X.
6-46-2
Maria T.
Eala A.
6-16-1
Siegemund L.
Podoroska N.
3-66-36-3
Cirstea S.
Davis L.
6-33-66-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Volynets K.
6-37-5
Wang X.
Gracheva V.
6-726-36-4
Sasnovich A.
Svitolina E.
6-47-5
Marino R.
Zhu L.
7-616-4
Parks A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-756-2
Osorio C.
Burel C.
6-36-4
Cornet A.
Ruse E.
6-766-46-3
Bogdan A.
Bondar A.
4-66-47-62
Frech M.
Paolini J.
6-26-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Blinkova A.
6-36-0
Tsurenko L.
Bronzetti L.
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-16-757-67
Burillo Escorihuela I.
Kanepi K.
6-756-26-4
Cocciaretto E.
Strycova B.
6-37-65
Andreeva M.
Fernandez L.
6-36-4
Vondrousova M.
Bassols Ribera M.
6-16-3
Sherif M.
Giorgi C.
4-66-4
Kovinic D.
Errani S.
6-46-0
Zanevska M.
Kenin S.
6-06-3
Cristian J.
Stephens S.
5-76-46-4