Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco GauffMiami Final

Miami · WTA · Final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
hard
#7WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
Sabalenka A.
6-2 4-6 6-3
Gauff C.
Sabalenka A.
6462
Gauff C.
2631

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Coco Gauff 6-2 4-6 6-3 in the Miami final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending the title. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 7–6.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

66
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka7-6(5) 6-2
2025-05-26Roland GarrosFclayCoco Gauff6-7(5) 6-2 6-4
2025-04-22MadridFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-6(3)
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsSFhardCoco Gauff7-6(4) 6-3
2024-10-07WuhanSFhardAryna Sabalenka1-6 6-4 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka7-6(2) 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenFhardCoco Gauff2-6 6-3 6-2
2023-03-06Indian WellsQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-0
2022-08-08TorontoR16hardCoco Gauff7-5 4-6 7-6(4)
2021-05-10RomeR16clayCoco Gauff7-5 6-3
2020-10-19OstravaR16hardAryna Sabalenka1-6 7-5 7-6(2)
2020-08-10LexingtonR16hardCoco Gauff7-6(4) 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Gauff C.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Gauff C.
96
Serve
25
39
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
55%
38%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
70%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
7.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
99
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+167 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 2035
7.1Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 2071
7.3
H2H
2.7
9.2
Surface form
6.1
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.3
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
6.4
Country comfort
7.9
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
57

Sabalenka A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[4]
6-24-66-3