Coco Gauff vs Aryna SabalenkaToronto Round of 16

Toronto · WTA · Round of 16
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 August 2022
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Gauff C.
7-5 4-6 7-6
Sabalenka A.
Gauff C.
74772
Sabalenka A.
56641

Coco Gauff defeated Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 4-6 7-6 in the Toronto round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 7–5. Coco Gauff narrowed the head-to-head to 7–6.

Key context

Head to head

57
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 4-6 6-3
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka7-6(5) 6-2
2025-05-26Roland GarrosFclayCoco Gauff6-7(5) 6-2 6-4
2025-04-22MadridFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-6(3)
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsSFhardCoco Gauff7-6(4) 6-3
2024-10-07WuhanSFhardAryna Sabalenka1-6 6-4 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka7-6(2) 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenFhardCoco Gauff2-6 6-3 6-2
2023-03-06Indian WellsQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-0
2021-05-10RomeR16clayCoco Gauff7-5 6-3
2020-10-19OstravaR16hardAryna Sabalenka1-6 7-5 7-6(2)
2020-08-10LexingtonR16hardCoco Gauff7-6(4) 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Gauff C.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gauff C.Sabalenka A.
25
Serve
96
100
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
99
98
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 2035
Surface ELO
7.2+167 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 2071
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 2220
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.9
Surface form
4.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
90

Gauff C.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw