Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco GauffAustralian Open Semi-final

Australian Open · WTA · Semi-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 January 2024
hard
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
Sabalenka A.
7-6 6-4
Gauff C.
Sabalenka A.
7762
Gauff C.
6240

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Coco Gauff 7-6 6-4 in the Australian Open semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending the title. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 7–6.

Key context

Head to head

66
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 4-6 6-3
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka7-6(5) 6-2
2025-05-26Roland GarrosFclayCoco Gauff6-7(5) 6-2 6-4
2025-04-22MadridFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-6(3)
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsSFhardCoco Gauff7-6(4) 6-3
2024-10-07WuhanSFhardAryna Sabalenka1-6 6-4 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenFhardCoco Gauff2-6 6-3 6-2
2023-03-06Indian WellsQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-0
2022-08-08TorontoR16hardCoco Gauff7-5 4-6 7-6(4)
2021-05-10RomeR16clayCoco Gauff7-5 6-3
2020-10-19OstravaR16hardAryna Sabalenka1-6 7-5 7-6(2)
2020-08-10LexingtonR16hardCoco Gauff7-6(4) 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Gauff C.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Gauff C.
96
Serve
25
39
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
43%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 151). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
99
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+167 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 2035
7.1Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 2071
5.4
H2H
4.6
7.1
Surface form
8.4
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.5
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
90
65

Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Gauff C.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

Semi-finals
Zheng Q.[12]
Yastremska D.
6-46-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Gauff C.[4]
7-626-4
R128
Sakkari M.[8]
Hibino N.
6-46-1
Yastremska D.
Vondrousova M.[7]
6-16-2
Tomova V.
Day K.
6-46-2
Mertens E.[25]
Sherif M.
6-22-0
Wozniacki C.
Linette M.[20]
6-22-0
Rakhimova K.
Bektas E.
6-46-4
Siegemund L.
Alexandrova E.[17]
6-23-67-69
Svitolina E.[19]
Preston T.
6-26-2
Korpatsch T.
Burrage J.
2-66-36-0
Siniakova K.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Swiatek I.[1]
Kenin S.
7-626-2
Fernandez L.[32]
Bejlek S.
7-656-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Seidel E.
6-06-1
Pegula J.[5]
Marino R.
6-26-4
Kessler M.
Ferro F.
3-66-36-2
Dodin O.
Zhu L.[29]
6-46-3
Timofeeva M.
Cornet A.
6-26-4
Rus A.
Kalinina A.[24]
6-16-0
Tauson C.
Minnen G.
7-57-5
Parry D.
Wang X.[30]
6-32-66-3
Frech M.
Saville D.
6-756-37-5
Collins D.
Kerber A.
6-23-66-1
Noskova L.
Bouzkova M.[31]
6-17-5
Ostapenko J.[11]
Birrell K.
7-656-1
Azarenka V.[18]
Giorgi C.
6-14-66-3
Navarro E.[27]
Wang X.
6-16-757-5
Rybakina E.[3]
Pliskova K.
7-666-4
Blinkova A.
Bucsa C.
6-26-4
Paolini J.[26]
Shnaider D.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[14]
Stearns P.
6-23-66-2
Zheng Q.[12]
Krueger A.
3-66-26-3
Boulter K.
Yuan Y.
7-57-61
Wang Y.
Cirstea S.[22]
0-67-56-2
Trevisan M.
Zarazua R.
4-66-46-2
Burel C.
Krunic A.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Bai Z.
4-67-56-2
Kostyuk M.
Liu C.
6-34-66-1
Haddad Maia B.[10]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-23-66-2
Garcia C.[16]
Osaka N.
6-47-62
Juvan K.
Potapova A.[23]
6-16-4
Dolehide C.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-4
Jabeur O.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-1
Andreeva M.
Pera B.
7-56-2
Hunter S.
Errani S.
6-46-3
Anisimova A.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-36-4
Badosa P.
Townsend T.
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Vekic D.[21]
6-46-4
Tsurenko L.[28]
Bronzetti L.
3-67-56-3
Parks A.
Snigur D.
2-66-26-4
Gauff C.[4]
Schmiedlova A.
6-36-0
Tomljanovic A.
Martic P.
7-634-66-4
Korneeva A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
4-66-36-2
Stephens S.
Gadecki O.
6-36-1
Cocciaretto E.
Sun L.
6-17-5
Gracheva V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Kudermetova V.[15]
7-641-66-1
Masarova R.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-4
Zakharova A.
Putintseva Y.
2-66-06-3
Maria T.
Osorio C.
7-56-746-4
Podoroska N.
Zidansek T.
6-16-0
Kalinskaya A.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-2
Raducanu E.
Rogers S.
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.[9]
Hontama M.
2-66-46-3
Fruhvirtova B.
Bogdan A.
2-66-46-3