Coco Gauff vs Aryna SabalenkaLexington Round of 16

Lexington · WTA · Round of 16
#7WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2020
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Gauff C.
7-6 4-6 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Gauff C.
77462
Sabalenka A.
64641

Coco Gauff defeated Aryna Sabalenka 7-6 4-6 6-4 in the Lexington round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 7–5. Coco Gauff narrowed the head-to-head to 7–6.

Key context

Head to head

57
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 4-6 6-3
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka7-6(5) 6-2
2025-05-26Roland GarrosFclayCoco Gauff6-7(5) 6-2 6-4
2025-04-22MadridFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-6(3)
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsSFhardCoco Gauff7-6(4) 6-3
2024-10-07WuhanSFhardAryna Sabalenka1-6 6-4 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka7-6(2) 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenFhardCoco Gauff2-6 6-3 6-2
2023-03-06Indian WellsQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-0
2022-08-08TorontoR16hardCoco Gauff7-5 4-6 7-6(4)
2021-05-10RomeR16clayCoco Gauff7-5 6-3
2020-10-19OstravaR16hardAryna Sabalenka1-6 7-5 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Gauff C.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gauff C.Sabalenka A.
25
Serve
96
100
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
99
98
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
60
88

Gauff C.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast