Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria MbokoAdelaide Final

Adelaide · WTA · Final
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#10WTA
2006ELO
2006Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$3.3MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLL
Andreeva M.
6-3 6-1
Mboko V.
Andreeva M.
662
Mboko V.
310

Mirra Andreeva defeated Victoria Mboko 6-3 6-1 in the Adelaide final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Victoria Mboko came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Mirra Andreeva claimed a first win over Victoria Mboko in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiR16hardVictoria Mboko7-6(4) 4-6 6-0
2026-02-08DohaR16hardVictoria Mboko6-3 3-6 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Andreeva M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mboko V.

Mboko V.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Andreeva M.Mboko V.
46
Serve
58
96
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
5.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.1
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
94
97
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1994
Surface ELO
5.6+13 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 2074
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 2006
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
7.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Andreeva M.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 32%