Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova — WTA Finals Round Robin
Why
Surface+37 Hard Elo edgeSupports Muchova K.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2070Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Svitolina E.
Recent runLost last 2Both players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO2 103
Hard ELO1 956
Last 106–4
Age32
Height174 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $31.2M2026 $4.5M
ELO2 131
Hard ELO1 984
Last 106–4
Age30
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $14.9M2026 $4.5M
Elina Svitolina faces Karolina Muchova in the WTA Finals round robin on hard. Elina Svitolina holds the paper edge — ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Karolina Muchova grades 84 on serve, Elina Svitolina 74 on return.
- Head-to-head: Elina Svitolina leads the head-to-head 3–1, 2–0 on hard. Last met at Stuttgart 2026.
- Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
18 shared · last 12 monthsSvitolina E. and Muchova K. faced 18 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Svitolina E. went 20–9 (69%) against them, Muchova K. 15–10 (60%). Results against comparable opponents are close (6 : 3 better-results split).
20–969%Svitolina E. · better vs 6Record vs common opponents15–1060%Muchova K. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
41–29Sets32–25
354–300Games267–252
4–3Tiebreaks2–1
10–2Deciding sets5–2
vs Rybakina E.#1W2-6 6-4 6-4Rome · clayL5-7 1-6Stuttgart · clay
vs Sabalenka A.#2L2-6 3-6Australian Open · hardL3-6 4-6Brisbane · hard
vs Gauff C.#4W6-1 6-2Australian Open · hardL1-6 6-3 3-6Australian Open · hard
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vs Noskova L.#8L3-6 6-7(5)Billie Jean King Cup · hardL2-6 7-5 3-6Wimbledon · grass
vs Swiatek I.#9W6-2 4-6 6-4Indian Wells · hardL2-6 0-6Indian Wells · hard
vs Shnaider D.#11W7-6 6-3Australian Open · hardL5-7 3-6Wuhan · hard
vs Eala A.#15L3-6 4-6Berlin · grassW6-0 6-2Miami · hard- vs Kalinskaya A.#26L4-6 3-6Doha · hardW6-3 6-4Doha · hard
- vs Potapova A.#28W6-1 6-1Toronto · hardL3-6 2-6Rome · clay
vs Sakkari M.#29W6-4 7-5Beijing · hardW3-6 6-4 6-1Doha · hard- vs Bartunkova N.#30W6-2 6-3Rome · clayL3-6 0-6Beijing · hard
- vs Alexandrova E.#32W3-6 6-0 6-3Toronto · hardW6-4 7-5Brisbane · hard
- vs Samsonova L.#40W6-2 5-7 6-2Wuhan · hardW4-6 6-4 6-2Beijing · hard
vs Boulter K.#50W7-5 6-4Auckland · hardW6-3 7-5Miami · hard
vs Bondar A.#76L3-6 4-6Madrid · clayW7-5 6-2Indian Wells · hard
vs Ruzic A.#77W3-6 6-2 6-3Dubai · hardW6-0 6-3Indian Wells · hard- vs Valentova T.#85W3-6 7-6(5) 6-0Cincinnati · hardW6-1 6-4Doha · hard
vs Bouzas Maneiro J.#104W6-7(5) 7-6(4) 6-4Toronto · hardW7-5 6-4Billie Jean King Cup · hard
Head-to-head
4 meetings · Svitolina E. leads 3–131
Clay: Muchova K. leads 1–0 · Hard: Svitolina E. leads 2–0 · Grass: Svitolina E. leads 1–0
- Muchova K.April 2026StuttgartClay6-4 2-6 6-4
- Svitolina E.March 2025MiamiHard6-2 3-6 6-2
- Svitolina E.July 2019WimbledonGrass7-5 6-4
- Svitolina E.February 2019DohaHard6-4 6-2
Evidence
Svitolina E.Muchova K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate72% (51–20)77% (44–13) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO21032131 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO19561984 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 63 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won66%70% (ahead)
Return points won47% (ahead)43%
Aces / match3.43.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 63 vs 55 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)61%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova — WTA Finals Round Robin", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-11/muchova-vs-svitolina-wta-finals-rr?utm_source=cite (as of 11 November 2026).