Karolina Muchova vs Katie BoulterMiami Round of 32

Miami · WTA · Round of 32
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
hard
#60WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Muchova K.
6-3 7-5
Boulter K.
Muchova K.
672
Boulter K.
350

Karolina Muchova defeated Katie Boulter 6-3 7-5 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Boulter K.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Boulter K.
70
Serve
21
44
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.1
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
87
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
86
Break points won·Even
94
93
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.1+239 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1795
8.2Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1831
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.5
Surface form
7.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
60
98

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Boulter K.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw