Elina Svitolina vs Liudmila Samsonova — Wuhan Round of 32

WuhanR32HardWed 14 Oct · 11:00Court 1 · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Svitolina E.
73%27%

Clear edge for Svitolina E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Svitolina E.7.5/10
Dominant favourite
Samsonova L.4.6/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+274 Hard Elo edgeSupports Svitolina E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2070Supports Svitolina E.
This eventReached the last 16 here last yearAgainst the prediction · Samsonova L.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Svitolina E.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
ELO2 127
Hard ELO1 979
Last 106–4
Age32
Height174 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $31.1M2026 $4.4M
ELO1 927
Hard ELO1 785
Last 106–4
Age27
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.4M2026 $1.4M

Elina Svitolina faces Liudmila Samsonova in the Wuhan round of 32 on hard. Elina Svitolina holds the paper edge — ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 270-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

16 shared · last 12 months

Svitolina E. and Samsonova L. faced 16 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Svitolina E. went 16–5 (76%) against them, Samsonova L. 9–12 (43%). Svitolina E. came out better against 8 of 16 comparable opponents, Samsonova L. against 1.

16–576%Svitolina E. · better vs 8Record vs common opponents9–1243%Samsonova L. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
33–16Sets25–28
260–198Games252–248
3–2Tiebreaks0–2
6–2Deciding sets4–7
Show 13 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Svitolina E. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Svitolina E.Samsonova L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate73% (49–18) (ahead)47% (21–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2127 (ahead)1927
Hard-court ELO1979 (ahead)1785
Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won66%67% (ahead)
Return points won46% (ahead)42%
Aces / match3.3 (ahead)2.9
ClutchLast 55 vs 40 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)55%

When it starts

Court 1 · Next on · Starting at 11:00 AM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 1 · 11:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium
Forecast23°C · Clear
Wind12 km/h
Humidity62%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Svitolina E.Samsonova L.
4Days since last match9 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
39Games · 7 days0 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
86Games · 14 days54 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elina Svitolina vs Liudmila Samsonova — Wuhan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/samsonova-vs-svitolina-wuhan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).