Maya Joint vs Liudmila SamsonovaUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#99WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$937kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 10 · 3rd on
#37WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$9.2MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
Joint M.
3-6 6-2 6-2
Samsonova L.
Joint M.
3662
Samsonova L.
6221

Maya Joint defeated Liudmila Samsonova in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 in favor of Joint. Joint converted 80 percent of her break points and won four service breaks to Samsonova's zero, while also hitting three aces and three double faults compared to Samsonova's four aces and one double fault.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-07TorontoR32hardLiudmila Samsonova5-7 7-6 2-6
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassLiudmila Samsonova6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
59
Break points saved·Even
76
73
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
77
44
Tiebreaks·
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Joint M.38%
Samsonova L.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Samsonova L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1657
Surface ELO
5.8+66 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1659
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1775
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
60

Joint M.: 18 days rest · Samsonova L.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 106 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%

Draw