Hailey Baptiste vs Elina SvitolinaMiami Round of 32

Miami · WTA · Round of 32
#30WTA
1844ELO
1781Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$3.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
hard
#8WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Baptiste H.
6-3 7-5
Svitolina E.
Baptiste H.
672
Svitolina E.
350

Hailey Baptiste defeated Elina Svitolina 6-3 7-5 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elina Svitolina came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Hailey Baptiste claimed a first win over Elina Svitolina in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-10RomeR32clayElina Svitolina6-1 6-2
2025-05-06RomeR32clayElina Svitolina6-4 3-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Baptiste H.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Baptiste H.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Baptiste H.Svitolina E.
40
Serve
48
18
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
90
Break points saved·Even
93
93
Break points won·Clear edge
79
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1781
Surface ELO
7.4+217 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 2070
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
7.8
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
5.0
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.1
Country comfort
5.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Svitolina E.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw