Mirra Andreeva vs Hailey BaptisteMadrid Semi-final

Madrid · WTA · Semi-final
#5WTA
2074ELO
2034Clay ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 21 April 2026
clay
#30WTA
1844ELO
1771Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$3.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
Andreeva M.
6-4 7-6
Baptiste H.
Andreeva M.
67102
Baptiste H.
4680

Mirra Andreeva defeated Hailey Baptiste 6-4 7-6 in the Madrid semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Mirra Andreeva came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Mirra Andreeva extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR32grassMirra Andreeva6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Andreeva M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Baptiste H.

Baptiste H.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Serve advantage — Andreeva M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Andreeva M.Baptiste H.
62
Serve
82
18
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
5.8
Double faults / match·Even
4.1
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
83
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Clear edge
100
79
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+264 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Clay Elo 1771
7.5Overall Elo 2074
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1844
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
5.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
7.3
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Andreeva M.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw

Semi-finals
Andreeva M.[9]
Baptiste H.[30]
6-47-68
Kostyuk M.[26]
Potapova A.
6-21-66-1