Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina — WTA Finals Round Robin
Why
Surface+204 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sabalenka A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2220Supports Sabalenka A.
Head-to-headLeads 3–0 on hardSupports Sabalenka A.
This eventReached the final here last yearSupports Sabalenka A.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Sabalenka A.
ELO2 236
Hard ELO2 145
Last 106–4
Age28
Height182 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $53.3M2026 $8.1M
ELO2 120
Hard ELO1 973
Last 106–4
Age32
Height174 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $31.2M2026 $4.5M
Aryna Sabalenka faces Elina Svitolina in the WTA Finals round robin on hard. Aryna Sabalenka holds the paper edge — ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's final. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Serve & return: Aryna Sabalenka brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 100), Elina Svitolina the stronger return game (Return Rating 72).
- Head-to-head: Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 6–1, 3–0 on hard. Last met at Australian Open 2026.
- Last match: Elina Svitolina dropped the opening set before beating Karolina Muchova 3–6 6–2 6–2.
Common opponents
18 shared · last 12 monthsSabalenka A. and Svitolina E. faced 18 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Sabalenka A. went 19–9 (68%) against them, Svitolina E. 17–8 (68%). Results against comparable opponents are close (5 : 5 better-results split).
19–968%Sabalenka A. · better vs 5Record vs common opponents17–868%Svitolina E. · better vs 5
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
44–22Sets36–21
349–298Games300–241
8–3Tiebreaks5–4
3–7Deciding sets5–2
vs Rybakina E.#1W3-6 6-3 7-6Indian Wells · hardL5-7 4-6Indian Wells · hard
vs Andreeva M.#3L4-6 0-6WTA Finals · hardL4-6 0-6WTA Finals · hard
vs Gauff C.#4W6-2 4-6 6-3Miami · hardW6-4 6-7 6-4Dubai · hard
Show 15 more ▾Show less ▴
- vs Pegula J.#5L4-6 7-6 0-6Berlin · grassL2-6 4-6Dubai · hard
vs Muchova K.#7W7-6(2) 7-5WTA Finals · hardW3-6 6-2 6-2WTA Finals · hard- vs Noskova L.#8W7-6(1) 3-6 7-6(7)US Open · hardL3-6 6-7(5)Billie Jean King Cup · hard
vs Kostyuk M.#10W6-4 6-3Brisbane · hardL3-6 6-2 2-6Roland Garros · clay- vs Shnaider D.#11L6-3 5-7 0-6Roland Garros · clayW7-6 6-3Australian Open · hard
- vs Jovic I.#13W6-3 6-0Australian Open · hardW7-6 6-2Auckland · hard
vs Zheng Q.#22W6-3 6-4Miami · hardL3-6 6-7(6)Beijing · hard- vs Potapova A.#28W7-6(4) 7-6(7)Australian Open · hardW6-1 6-1Toronto · hard
- vs Bartunkova N.#30W2-6 6-4Berlin · grassW6-2 6-3Rome · clay
- vs Li A.#31L6-3 4-6 6-7(5)Wuhan · hardW6-2 6-3Beijing · hard
- vs Alexandrova E.#32L6-7(3) 6-4 4-6Toronto · hardW3-6 6-0 6-3Toronto · hard
- vs Wang X.#38W6-1 6-3Cincinnati · hardW6-3 7-6Auckland · hard
vs Bucsa C.#44W6-0 6-1Brisbane · hardW6-4 6-1Australian Open · hard- vs Baptiste H.#46W6-4 6-4Miami · hardL3-6 5-7Miami · hard
- vs Bouzas Maneiro J.#104W6-4 6-2Roland Garros · clayW6-7(5) 7-6(4) 6-4Toronto · hard
Head-to-head
7 meetings · Sabalenka A. leads 6–161
Hard: Sabalenka A. leads 3–0 · Clay: Sabalenka A. leads 3–1
- Sabalenka A.January 2026Australian OpenHard6-2 6-3
- Sabalenka A.April 2025MadridClay6-3 7-5
- Sabalenka A.August 2024CincinnatiHard7-5 6-2
- Sabalenka A.May 2024RomeClay4-6 6-1 7-6
- Sabalenka A.May 2023Roland GarrosClay6-4 6-4
Evidence
Sabalenka A.Svitolina E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate81% (50–12) (ahead)72% (52–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2236 (ahead)2120
Hard-court ELO2145 (ahead)1973
Serve vs returnLast 60 vs 64 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)66%
Return points won44%47% (ahead)
Aces / match5.0 (ahead)3.4
ClutchLast 60 vs 64 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)62%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina — WTA Finals Round Robin", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-13/sabalenka-vs-svitolina-wta-finals-rr?utm_source=cite (as of 13 November 2026).