Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina — Rome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR2
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
Elina Svitolina
UKR16
Elina Svitolina
#8WTA
2070ELO
1995Clay ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Sabalenka A.
4-6 6-1 7-6
Svitolina E.
Sabalenka A.
46792
Svitolina E.
61671

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elina Svitolina 4-6 6-1 7-6 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 64. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

5–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2025-04-22MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2024-08-12CincinnatiR16hardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2023-05-29Roland GarrosQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-4
2020-09-21StrasbourgSFclayElina Svitolina6-2 4-6 6-4
2018-09-24WuhanR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 2-6 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Svitolina E.
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Svitolina E.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Svitolina E.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+109 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Clay Elo 1995
7.8Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 2070
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.3
Surface form
6.4
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.9
Minutes 14d
8.7
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
6.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Svitolina E.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
98

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[2]
Collins D.[13]
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[3]
Zheng Q.[7]
7-646-1
Collins D.[13]
Azarenka V.[24]
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Ostapenko J.[9]
6-26-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Keys M.[18]
6-16-3
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Kerber A.
7-56-3
Keys M.[18]
Cirstea S.[28]
6-26-1
Gauff C.[3]
Badosa P.
5-76-46-1
Ostapenko J.[9]
Sramkova R.
4-66-47-63
Azarenka V.[24]
Sakkari M.[5]
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[2]
Svitolina E.[16]
4-66-17-67
Zheng Q.[7]
Osaka N.
6-26-4
Collins D.[13]
Begu I.
6-06-3
R32
Svitolina E.[16]
Kalinskaya A.[23]
6-36-3
Kerber A.
Sasnovich A.
6-37-64
Sakkari M.[5]
Kalinina A.[30]
7-646-0
Sabalenka A.[2]
Yastremska D.[32]
6-46-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Sherif M.
6-26-766-3
Gauff C.[3]
Cristian J.
6-10-66-3
Collins D.[13]
Garcia C.[22]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-4
Cirstea S.[28]
Vondrousova M.[6]
7-616-3
Sramkova R.
Kenin S.
6-44-66-4
Ostapenko J.[9]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-45-76-1
Keys M.[18]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
6-44-66-3
Badosa P.
Shnaider D.
5-76-46-4
Osaka N.
Kasatkina D.[10]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Noskova L.[29]
3-66-16-2
Begu I.
Mertens E.[27]
6-26-0
R64
Collins D.[13]
Blinkova A.
6-40-0
Begu I.
Dodin O.
5-2
Kasatkina D.[10]
Maria T.
7-56-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Pera B.
6-06-2
Ostapenko J.[9]
Potapova A.
6-46-2
Zheng Q.[7]
Rogers S.
6-26-0
Kerber A.
Kudermetova V.[17]
6-36-0
Kalinina A.[30]
Tsurenko L.
2-0
Gauff C.[3]
Frech M.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[5]
Gracheva V.
6-26-2
Shnaider D.
Samsonova L.[15]
6-16-3
Putintseva Y.
Stephens S.[31]
6-36-2
Sasnovich A.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-06-1
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Wang X.
4-66-36-4
Keys M.[18]
Osorio C.
6-04-66-3
Vondrousova M.[6]
Bogdan A.
6-23-66-4
Cristian J.
Avanesyan E.
5-76-26-2
Noskova L.[29]
Stefanini L.
6-37-61
Azarenka V.[24]
Linette M.
6-756-46-3
Sherif M.
Paolini J.[11]
7-642-66-4
Mertens E.[27]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Kenin S.
Jabeur O.[8]
7-52-66-4
Sramkova R.
Boulter K.[26]
6-47-68
Sorribes Tormo S.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
6-31-67-5
Kalinskaya A.[23]
Tauson C.
6-16-2
Yastremska D.[32]
Siegemund L.
4-67-56-2
Osaka N.
Kostyuk M.[19]
6-36-2
Garcia C.[22]
Cocciaretto E.
6-27-65
Sabalenka A.[2]
Volynets K.
4-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[16]
Errani S.
6-06-2
Cirstea S.[28]
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-0
Badosa P.
Navarro E.[21]
1-66-46-2
R128
Putintseva Y.
Trevisan M.
6-36-4
Cocciaretto E.
Zarazua R.
4-67-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Podoroska N.
6-46-3
Tauson C.
Saville D.
6-26-3
Errani S.
Anisimova A.
4-66-26-1
Sasnovich A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-27-66
Bogdan A.
Fernandez L.
6-46-1
Frech M.
Krueger A.
7-626-3
Siegemund L.
Carle M.
2-66-46-4
Gracheva V.
Di Sarra F.
6-16-3
Maria T.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-653-66-2
Pera B.
Dolehide C.
7-666-3
Kerber A.
Davis L.
6-16-0
Wang X.
Yuan Y.
4-66-16-2
Osorio C.
Rus A.
4-66-36-4
Fruhvirtova B.
Townsend T.
3-66-26-0
Shnaider D.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Osaka N.
Burel C.
7-626-1
Stefanini L.
Paganetti V.
7-56-3
Rogers S.
Pigato L.
6-16-0
Tsurenko L.
Vekic D.
6-23-67-65
Linette M.
Zhu L.
6-36-2
Sherif M.
Martic P.
6-26-2
Blinkova A.
Parry D.
6-26-3
Begu I.
Masarova R.
5-76-36-4
Kenin S.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Volynets K.
Wang Y.
7-666-1
Sramkova R.
Pedone G.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Bucsa C.
6-736-07-5
Badosa P.
Andreeva M.
6-26-3
Siniakova K.
Brancaccio N.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Wang X.
6-17-5