Elina Svitolina vs Aryna SabalenkaStrasbourg Semi-final

Strasbourg · WTA · Semi-final
#8WTA
2070ELO
1995Clay ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2020
clay
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Svitolina E.
6-2 4-6 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Svitolina E.
6462
Sabalenka A.
2641

Elina Svitolina defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-2 4-6 6-4 in the Strasbourg semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 6–0, defending last year's semi-final. Elina Svitolina claimed a first win over Aryna Sabalenka in seven meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Elina Svitolina closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

06
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2025-04-22MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2024-08-12CincinnatiR16hardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2024-05-06RomeR16clayAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-1 7-6(7)
2023-05-29Roland GarrosQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-4
2018-09-24WuhanR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 2-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Svitolina E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
98
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
88

Svitolina E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast