Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina SvitolinaRoland Garros Quarter-final

Roland Garros · WTA · Quarter-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 May 2023
clay
#8WTA
2070ELO
1995Clay ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Sabalenka A.
6-4 6-4
Svitolina E.
Sabalenka A.
662
Svitolina E.
440

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elina Svitolina 6-4 6-4 in the Roland Garros quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 32. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2025-04-22MadridSFclayAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2024-08-12CincinnatiR16hardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2024-05-06RomeR16clayAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-1 7-6(7)
2020-09-21StrasbourgSFclayElina Svitolina6-2 4-6 6-4
2018-09-24WuhanR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 2-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 147). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.6+109 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Clay Elo 1995
7.8Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 2070
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.7
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.7
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
98

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw

R128
Swiatek I.[3]
Bucsa C.[31]
6-46-0
Peterson R.
Ferro F.
6-26-0
Navarro E.
Andreeva E.
6-23-66-4
Bolsova A.
Kucova K.
6-26-1
Day K.
Mladenovic K.
7-56-1
Danilovic O.
Baindl K.
6-36-2
Dodin O.
Janicijevic S.
0-66-26-1
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-2
Samsonova L.[20]
Volynets K.
6-06-1
Giorgi C.
Cornet A.
6-36-4
Stearns P.
Siniakova K.
7-676-2
Ostapenko J.[29]
Martincova T.
6-37-5
Osorio C.
Bogdan A.
3-66-37-5
Haddad Maia B.[14]
Maria T.
6-06-1
Andreescu B.[25]
Azarenka V.[18]
2-66-36-4
Waltert S.
Mandlik E.
6-14-66-2
Shnaider D.[25]
Marino R.
6-37-5
Stephens S.
Pliskova K.[20]
6-06-4
Frech M.
Zhang S.[29]
6-16-1
Kasatkina D.[9]
Niemeier J.
6-36-4
Noskova L.[12]
Kovinic D.
6-32-1
Alexandrova E.[14]
Tomova V.
6-12-66-1
Davis L.
Zhu L.
6-36-3
Tsurenko L.
Krejcikova B.[13]
6-26-4
Parry D.
Kalinina A.[25]
6-26-3
Grabher J.
Rus A.
6-26-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Burel C.
7-606-2
Martic P.
Rogers S.[32]
3-66-36-2
Friedsam A.
Hibino N.
6-33-66-4
Pera B.
Kontaveit A.
7-666-2
Vekic D.[22]
Yastremska D.
6-27-5
Jabeur O.[7]
Bronzetti L.
6-46-1
Podoroska N.
Ponchet J.
6-06-2
Errani S.
Teichmann J.
3-66-46-2
Muchova K.[10]
Sakkari M.[8]
7-657-5
Jeanjean L.
Birrell K.
6-46-766-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Linette M.[21]
6-31-66-3
Avanesyan E.
Bencic B.[11]
6-32-66-4
Potapova A.[28]
Townsend T.
6-16-2
Sherif M.
Brengle M.
6-36-1
Blinkova A.
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-0
Hunter S.
Parrizas Diaz N.
4-66-26-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Trevisan M.[26]
6-26-2
Vondrousova M.
Parks A.
6-46-0
Gracheva V.
Galfi D.
6-42-66-1
Rakhimova K.
Bejlek S.
6-06-3
Shymanovich I.
Udvardy P.
6-766-36-1
Schmiedlova A.
Kudermetova V.[11]
6-36-1
Putintseva Y.
Zanevska M.
7-57-63
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-2
Begu I.[27]
Bondar A.
6-46-2
Tauson C.[21]
Sasnovich A.[14]
6-26-0
Cocciaretto E.
Kvitova P.[10]
6-36-4
Liu C.
In Albon Y.
6-16-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Riske Amritraj A.
6-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Kanepi K.
6-13-66-1
Gauff C.[4]
Masarova R.
3-66-16-2
Paolini J.[13]
Cirstea S.[18]
7-52-66-2
Mertens E.[23]
Hruncakova V.
6-16-4
Pegula J.[5]
Collins D.
6-46-2
Garcia C.[5]
Wang X.[32]
7-644-66-4
Zheng Q.[19]
Zidansek T.[22]
6-36-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Fruhvirtova B.
6-46-2
Wang X.
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-47-65