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Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova — WTA Finals Round Robin

WTA FinalsRound RobinHardFri 13 Nov · 12:00Indian Wells Tennis Garden · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Andreeva M.
71%29%

Clear edge for Andreeva M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Andreeva M.7.2/10
Strong advantage
Muchova K.6.1/10
Even match
Why
Surface+40 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Muchova K.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2074Supports Andreeva M.
Recent run2-match win streakSupports Andreeva M.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Andreeva M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Andreeva M.
ELO2 178
Hard ELO2 004
Last 108–2
Age19
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $13.3M2026 $5.7M
ELO2 114
Hard ELO1 967
Last 106–4
Age30
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $14.9M2026 $4.5M

Mirra Andreeva faces Karolina Muchova in the WTA Finals round robin on hard. Mirra Andreeva holds the paper edge — ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Common opponents

23 shared · last 12 months

Andreeva M. and Muchova K. faced 23 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Andreeva M. went 24–8 (75%) against them, Muchova K. 19–12 (61%). Results against comparable opponents are close (6 : 5 better-results split).

24–875%Andreeva M. · better vs 6Record vs common opponents19–1261%Muchova K. · better vs 5
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
53–21Sets40–32
404–298Games334–333
6–4Tiebreaks3–1
5–5Deciding sets8–3
Show 20 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Andreeva M. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Andreeva M.Muchova K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate77% (53–16) (ahead)76% (44–14)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2178 (ahead)2114
Hard-court ELO2004 (ahead)1967
Serve vs returnLast 68 vs 56 matches
1st-serve points won68%70% (ahead)
Return points won47% (ahead)43%
Aces / match3.23.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 68 vs 56 matches
Break points saved60%60%

When it starts

Indian Wells Tennis Garden · Next on · Starting at 12:00 PM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Indian Wells Tennis Garden · 12:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast24°C · Mainly clear
Wind7 km/h
Humidity45%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Andreeva M.Muchova K.
1Days since last match1
2Matches · 7 days2
32 — fresherGames · 7 days50
2Matches · 14 days2
32 — fresherGames · 14 days50
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova — WTA Finals Round Robin", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-13/andreeva-vs-muchova-wta-finals-rr?utm_source=cite (as of 13 November 2026).