Karolina Muchova vs Coco GauffStuttgart Quarter-final

Stuttgart · WTA · Quarter-final
#9WTA
2066ELO
1893Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 April 2026
clay
#7WTA
2071ELO
2018Clay ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
Muchova K.
6-3 5-7 6-3
Gauff C.
Muchova K.
6562
Gauff C.
3731

Karolina Muchova defeated Coco Gauff 6-3 5-7 6-3 in the Stuttgart quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Karolina Muchova narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

16
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-09WimbledonSFgrassKarolina Muchova6-2 1-6 7.12-6.10
2026-03-17MiamiSFhardCoco Gauff6-1 6-1
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardCoco Gauff6-1 3-6 6-3
2024-12-27United CupSFhardCoco Gauff6-1 6-4
2024-09-25BeijingFhardCoco Gauff6-1 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenSFhardCoco Gauff6-4 7-5
2023-08-14CincinnatiFhardCoco Gauff6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Gauff C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
38%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.1
7.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
99
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1893
Surface ELO
6.3+126 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 2071
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
9.4
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
51
60

Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
11°CDrizzle
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 84%