Coco Gauff vs Karolina MuchovaCincinnati Final

Cincinnati · WTA · Final
#7WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Gauff C.
6-3 6-4
Muchova K.
Gauff C.
662
Muchova K.
340

Coco Gauff defeated Karolina Muchova 6-3 6-4 in the Cincinnati final on hard. The result followed the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 64. Coco Gauff extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Coco Gauff closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-09WimbledonSFgrassKarolina Muchova6-2 1-6 7.12-6.10
2026-04-13StuttgartQFclayKarolina Muchova6-3 5-7 6-3
2026-03-17MiamiSFhardCoco Gauff6-1 6-1
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardCoco Gauff6-1 3-6 6-3
2024-12-27United CupSFhardCoco Gauff6-1 6-4
2024-09-25BeijingFhardCoco Gauff6-1 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenSFhardCoco Gauff6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Gauff C.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Serve advantage — Gauff C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gauff C.Muchova K.
25
Serve
70
100
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 143). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
99
94
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+1 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 2034
5.0Overall Elo 2071
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 2066
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.0
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.7
Minutes 14d
6.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.4
Country comfort
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
48
53

Gauff C.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 115 games (7d) · Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[7]
Muchova K.
6-36-4