Mirra Andreeva vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSingapore Round of 16

Singapore · WTA · Round of 16
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.7MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 23 September 2026 ·
hard
#132WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
$379kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWLWW
Andreeva M.
vs
Sasnovich A.

Mirra Andreeva faces Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Singapore round of 16 on hard. Mirra Andreeva holds the paper edge — ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 300-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Andreeva M.89%
Sasnovich A.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Andreeva M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Andreeva M. 8–2 · Sasnovich A. 2–5
Andreeva M. better · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+296 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1697
9.3Overall Elo 2074
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1726
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

48 vs 47 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.6
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Andreeva M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Sasnovich A.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Serve advantage — Andreeva M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
36
Break points saved·Dominant
84
14
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
88

Andreeva M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sasnovich A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-22IasiR16clayMirra Andreeva6-1 6-3

Draw