Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich — Singapore Round of 32

Singapore · WTA · Round of 32
Daria Kasatkina
AUS
Daria Kasatkina
#84WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
$876kYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
hard
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
BLR
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#132WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
$379kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWWW
Kasatkina D.
5-7 0-6
Sasnovich A.
Kasatkina D.
500
Sasnovich A.
762

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Daria Kasatkina in the Round of 32 at the Singapore tournament, winning 7-5, 6-0 on hard courts. Sasnovich converted all her break points and secured three service breaks to Kasatkina's two, also committing zero double faults to Kasatkina's three. Sasnovich hit one ace to Kasatkina's zero.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Kasatkina D.3/10
Sasnovich A.7/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

4–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-21MiamiR64hardAliaksandra Sasnovich7-6 6-4
2021-03-15St. PetersburgR16hardDaria Kasatkina5-7 6-3 7-6
2019-01-07SydneyR32hardAliaksandra Sasnovich6-1 6-4
2018-08-27US OpenR64hardAliaksandra Sasnovich6-2 7-6
2017-10-16MoscowQFhardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-3
2017-08-14CincinnatiR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-2
2016-04-16Fed Cup WG R1: RUS vs BLRRRclayDaria Kasatkina6-3 3-6 6-1
2014-06-09Padova 25KR16clayAliaksandra Sasnovich6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
Kasatkina D.Sasnovich A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kasatkina D.Sasnovich A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
53
36
Break points saved·Slight edge
21
14
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
16
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Kasatkina D.69%
Sasnovich A.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kasatkina D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kasatkina D.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Sasnovich A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+60 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1697
5.9Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1726
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.35 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kasatkina D.Sasnovich A.
Freshness·Even
86
86

Kasatkina D.: played today · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Sasnovich A.: played today · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw