Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSt. Petersburg Round of 16

St. Petersburg · WTA · Round of 16
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 March 2021
hard
#122WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Kasatkina D.
5-7 6-3 7-6
Sasnovich A.
Kasatkina D.
56772
Sasnovich A.
73621

Daria Kasatkina defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich 5-7 6-3 7-6 in the St. Petersburg round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, defending last year's round of 32. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-21MiamiR64hardAliaksandra Sasnovich7-6(5) 6-4
2019-01-07SydneyR32hardAliaksandra Sasnovich6-1 6-4
2018-08-27US OpenR64hardAliaksandra Sasnovich6-2 7-6(3)
2017-10-16MoscowQFhardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-3
2017-08-14CincinnatiR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-2
2016-04-16Fed Cup WG R1: RUS vs BLRRRclayDaria Kasatkina6-3 3-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Sasnovich A.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Sasnovich A.
0
Serve
37
95
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
44%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
61
Break points saved·Even
80
79
Break points won·Slight edge
100
93
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
72
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
47
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sasnovich A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast