Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Daria Kasatkina — Miami Round of 64

Miami · WTA · Round of 64
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
BLR
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#122WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 March 2022
hard
Daria Kasatkina
AUS25
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Sasnovich A.
7-6 6-4
Kasatkina D.
Sasnovich A.
7762
Kasatkina D.
6540

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Daria Kasatkina 7-6 6-4 in the Miami round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Aliaksandra Sasnovich narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-03-15St. PetersburgR16hardDaria Kasatkina5-7 6-3 7-6(2)
2019-01-07SydneyR32hardAliaksandra Sasnovich6-1 6-4
2018-08-27US OpenR64hardAliaksandra Sasnovich6-2 7-6(3)
2017-10-16MoscowQFhardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-3
2017-08-14CincinnatiR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-2
2016-04-16Fed Cup WG R1: RUS vs BLRRRclayDaria Kasatkina6-3 3-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sasnovich A.Kasatkina D.
37
Serve
0
35
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sasnovich A.Kasatkina D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
41%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sasnovich A.Kasatkina D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
78
Break points saved·Even
79
80
Break points won·Slight edge
93
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
25
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sasnovich A.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Kasatkina D.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1697
Surface ELO
5.7+60 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1795
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
5.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
4.6
Country comfort
5.6
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sasnovich A.Kasatkina D.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Sasnovich A.: 16 days rest · Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[2]
Osaka N.
6-46-0
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[2]
Pegula J.[16]
6-27-5
Osaka N.
Bencic B.[22]
4-66-36-4
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[2]
Kvitova P.[28]
6-36-3
Pegula J.[16]
Badosa P.[5]
4-1
Osaka N.
Collins D.[9]
6-26-1
Bencic B.[22]
Saville D.
6-16-2
R16
Bencic B.[22]
Sasnovich A.
6-26-3
Saville D.
Bronzetti L.
5-76-47-5
Osaka N.
Riske Amritraj A.
6-36-4
Collins D.[9]
Jabeur O.[8]
6-26-4
Badosa P.[5]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-3
Kvitova P.[28]
Kudermetova V.[21]
7-656-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Gauff C.[14]
6-36-1
Pegula J.[16]
Kalinina A.
6-0
R32
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
W/O
Bronzetti L.
Kalinskaya A.
W/O
Jabeur O.[8]
Kanepi K.
6-36-0
Sasnovich A.
Begu I.
7-56-746-4
Bencic B.[22]
Watson H.
6-46-1
Riske Amritraj A.
Li A.
6-23-66-3
Collins D.[9]
Zvonareva V.
6-16-4
Badosa P.[5]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[16]
Rybakina E.[17]
6-36-4
Kalinina A.
Haddad Maia B.
2-66-46-2
Kvitova P.[28]
Davis L.
7-56-1
Saville D.
Siniakova K.
6-01-0
Fruhvirtova L.
Azarenka V.[12]
6-23-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Brengle M.
6-06-3
Kudermetova V.[21]
Rogers S.
6-17-5
Gauff C.[14]
Zhang S.
7-617-5
R64
Kudermetova V.[21]
Galfi D.
5-1
Kanepi K.
Sorribes Tormo S.[32]
3-67-56-0
Sasnovich A.
Kasatkina D.[25]
7-656-4
Siniakova K.
Raducanu E.[11]
3-66-47-5
Begu I.
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-46-4
Bencic B.[22]
Kostyuk M.
6-36-1
Saville D.
Tan H.
6-46-2
Bronzetti L.
Voegele S.
6-26-1
Kalinskaya A.
Pliskova K.[6]
6-36-3
Muchova K.
Fernandez L.[18]
6-47-63
Collins D.[9]
Bondar A.
6-33-66-4
Zvonareva V.
Zidansek T.[19]
6-36-2
Jabeur O.[8]
Linette M.
7-616-2
Badosa P.[5]
Bouzkova M.
7-57-5
Putintseva Y.
Tsurenko L.
6-34-67-5
Fruhvirtova L.
Mertens E.[20]
7-52-66-1
Azarenka V.[12]
Alexandrova E.
6-42-67-65
Pegula J.[16]
Stephens S.
6-16-4
Rybakina E.[17]
Ruse E.
6-47-5
Kalinina A.
Keys M.[26]
3-66-36-4
Haddad Maia B.
Sakkari M.[4]
4-66-16-2
Davis L.
Hunter S.
6-46-1
Kvitova P.[28]
Burel C.
6-13-66-3
Rogers S.
Ostapenko J.[10]
6-37-60
Swiatek I.[2]
Golubic V.
6-26-0
Brengle M.
Samsonova L.[29]
6-46-0
Watson H.
Svitolina E.[15]
4-66-37-64
Osaka N.
Kerber A.[13]
6-26-3
Zhang S.
Cirstea S.[24]
6-16-1
Riske Amritraj A.
Cornet A.[31]
6-26-2
Gauff C.[14]
Wang Q.
7-56-4
Li A.
Kontaveit A.[3]
6-03-66-4
R128
Kanepi K.
Zanevska M.
6-2
Haddad Maia B.
Parrizas Diaz N.
7-626-2
Bondar A.
Garcia C.
7-5
Begu I.
Baptiste H.
6-766-16-1
Sasnovich A.
Wang X.
7-666-4
Putintseva Y.
Schunk N.
4-66-36-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Kovinic D.
6-06-4
Stephens S.
Udvardy P.
6-46-3
Ruse E.
Konjuh A.
6-36-4
Burel C.
Frech M.
6-37-5
Rogers S.
Anisimova A.
3-66-06-3
Wang Q.
Krueger A.
4-67-56-2
Brengle M.
Eala A.
6-26-1
Golubic V.
Flipkens K.
6-44-66-4
Watson H.
Rus A.
6-757-56-4
Siniakova K.
Marino R.
3-66-26-1
Li A.
Sherif M.
2-66-36-4
Riske Amritraj A.
Teichmann J.
7-656-3
Zvonareva V.
Doi M.
6-46-1
Muchova K.
Martincova T.
7-637-63
Linette M.
Zheng Q.
7-646-4
Zhang S.
Tauson C.
6-44-62-1
Galfi D.
Kucova K.
6-06-0
Kalinina A.
Gorgodze E.
6-23-66-3
Davis L.
Yuan Y.
6-46-1
Kalinskaya A.
Montgomery R.
4-66-47-64
Osaka N.
Sharma A.
6-36-4
Kostyuk M.
Van Uytvanck A.
4-66-26-1
Saville D.
Minnen G.
7-56-3
Bronzetti L.
Tomljanovic A.
4-67-666-2
Bouzkova M.
Siegemund L.
6-16-2
Alexandrova E.
Paolini J.
6-16-2