Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li — Wuhan Round of 32
Why
Surface+456 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sabalenka A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2220Supports Sabalenka A.
Head-to-headLeads 3–0 on hardSupports Sabalenka A.
This eventReached the semis here last yearSupports Sabalenka A.
ELO2 266
Hard ELO2 181
Last 107–3
Age28
Height182 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $53.3M2026 $8.1M
ELO1 929
Hard ELO1 784
Last 107–3
Age26
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.6M2026 $1.5M
Aryna Sabalenka faces Ann Li in the Wuhan round of 32 on hard. Aryna Sabalenka holds the paper edge — ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's semi-final. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Aryna Sabalenka has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 100 vs 48).
- Freshness: Aryna Sabalenka comes in with 9 days of rest and 35 games in 14d, vs Ann Li's 6 and 54.
- Last match: Ann Li advanced when Maria Camila Osorio Serrano retired.
Common opponents
12 shared · last 12 monthsSabalenka A. and Li A. faced 12 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Sabalenka A. went 15–4 (79%) against them, Li A. 10–9 (53%). Sabalenka A. came out better against 7 of 12 comparable opponents, Li A. against 0.
15–479%Sabalenka A. · better vs 7Record vs common opponents10–953%Li A. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
33–11Sets23–23
248–186Games208–219
5–2Tiebreaks3–3
3–3Deciding sets5–4
vs Rybakina E.#1L4-6 7-5 2-6US Open · hardL2-6 5-7Toronto · hard
vs Gauff C.#5W6-2 4-6 6-3Miami · hardL1-6 6-7(3)Cincinnati · hard
vs Svitolina E.#6W6-2 6-3Australian Open · hardL2-6 3-6Beijing · hard
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vs Noskova L.#8W7-6(1) 3-6 7-6(7)US Open · hardL2-6 7-6(6) 2-6US Open · hard- vs Kostyuk M.#10W6-4 6-3Brisbane · hardL0-6 7-6 3-6Rouen · clay
vs Alexandrova E.#24W6-4 6-4Berlin · grassL1-6 7-6 1-6Bad Homburg · grass
vs Gibson T.#41W6-2 7-6(2)Cincinnati · hardL3-6 5-7Indian Wells · hard
vs Osorio Serrano M.#59W6-2 6-4US Open · hardW6-1 6-2Monterrey · hard
vs Rakhimova K.#69W6-3 6-4US Open · hardW4-6 6-2 6-3Rouen · clay
vs Zhang S.#81W6-3 6-4Toronto · hardW7-5 6-3Cincinnati · hard- vs Kasatkina D.#82W6-0 7-5Roland Garros · clayW6-7 6-2 6-4Rouen · clay
- vs Bai Z.#200W6-3 6-1Australian Open · hardL3-6 1-6Jiujiang · hard
Head-to-head
3 meetings · Sabalenka A. leads 3–030
- Sabalenka A.March 2026MiamiHard7-6 6-4
- Sabalenka A.August 2023CincinnatiHard7-5 2-6 6-4
- Sabalenka A.February 2021Australian OpenHard6-3 6-1
Evidence
Sabalenka A.Li A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate83% (49–10) (ahead)54% (28–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2266 (ahead)1929
Hard-court ELO2181 (ahead)1784
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 48 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)69%
Return points won45% (ahead)42%
Aces / match5.15.1
ClutchLast 54 vs 48 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)59%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li — Wuhan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/li-vs-sabalenka-wuhan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).