Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li — Miami Round of 64

Miami · WTA · Round of 64
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
hard
Ann Li
USA
Ann Li
#29WTA
1807ELO
1746Hard ELO
$718kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWW
Sabalenka A.
7-6 6-4
Li A.
Sabalenka A.
7762
Li A.
6540

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Ann Li 7-6 6-4 in the Miami round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending the title. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-14CincinnatiR32hardAryna Sabalenka7-5 2-6 6-4
2021-02-08Australian OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Li A.

Li A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Li A.
96
Serve
47
39
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Li A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
70%
56%
Aces / match·Even
5.2
5.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Li A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
76
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
83
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
9.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Li A.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+456 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1746
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1807
10.0
H2H
0.0
9.2
Surface form
3.4
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
4.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.4
Country comfort
5.9
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Li A.
Freshness·Slight edge
86
96

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Li A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[4]
6-24-66-3
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Muchova K.[13]
6-16-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rybakina E.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Muchova K.[13]
Mboko V.[10]
7-57-65
Sabalenka A.[1]
Baptiste H.
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[3]
Pegula J.[5]
2-66-36-4
Gauff C.[4]
Bencic B.[12]
6-31-66-3
R16
Muchova K.[13]
Eala A.[31]
6-06-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[23]
6-36-4
Pegula J.[5]
Cristian J.[34]
6-46-1
Mboko V.[10]
Andreeva M.[8]
7-644-66-0
Baptiste H.
Ostapenko J.[25]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[4]
Cirstea S.
6-43-66-2
Bencic B.[12]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-26-2
Rybakina E.[3]
Gibson T.
6-26-2
R32
Ostapenko J.[25]
Paolini J.[7]
5-76-27-5
Gauff C.[4]
Parks A.
3-66-06-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mcnally C.
6-46-2
Eala A.[31]
Linette M.
6-37-62
Cirstea S.
Mertens E.[21]
6-36-2
Cristian J.[34]
Alexandrova E.[11]
6-34-67-65
Andreeva M.[8]
Bouzkova M.[32]
7-646-2
Anisimova A.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-2
Zheng Q.[23]
Keys M.[15]
4-66-26-4
Mboko V.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-17-5
Gibson T.
Jovic I.[18]
6-26-2
Muchova K.[13]
Boulter K.
6-37-5
Bencic B.[12]
Shnaider D.[20]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Kostyuk M.[27]
6-36-4
Baptiste H.
Svitolina E.[9]
6-37-5
Pegula J.[5]
Fernandez L.[26]
6-26-2
R64
Shnaider D.[20]
Valentova T.
7-677-63
Pegula J.[5]
Jones F.
6-13-0
Boulter K.
Tauson C.[17]
6-746-41-0
Starodubtseva Y.
Bucsa C.[30]
6-23-2
Bouzkova M.[32]
Jacquemot E.
6-26-2
Linette M.
Swiatek I.[2]
1-67-56-3
Zheng Q.[23]
Stephens S.
6-36-2
Muchova K.[13]
Osorio C.
4-66-27-5
Kostyuk M.[27]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Paolini J.[7]
Townsend T.
6-31-66-2
Cirstea S.
Noskova L.[14]
6-23-66-4
Parks A.
Sakkari M.[33]
6-36-3
Mcnally C.
Wang X.[29]
6-41-66-0
Anisimova A.[6]
Tomljanovic A.
6-15-76-4
Ostapenko J.[25]
Yastremska D.
6-46-4
Alexandrova E.[11]
Tagger L.
6-36-3
Gibson T.
Osaka N.[16]
7-56-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Li A.
7-656-4
Eala A.[31]
Siegemund L.
6-766-36-3
Cristian J.[34]
Stearns P.
6-47-5
Svitolina E.[9]
Jones E.
6-26-4
Fernandez L.[26]
Selekhmeteva O.
7-613-66-1
Mertens E.[21]
Kalieva E.
6-26-0
Keys M.[15]
Ruse E.
6-06-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3
Zakharova A.
Kalinskaya A.[22]
3-66-17-5
Mboko V.[10]
Blinkova A.
6-26-0
Baptiste H.
Samsonova L.[19]
6-37-5
Andreeva M.[8]
Kessler M.
6-16-736-1
Bencic B.[12]
Sonmez Z.
6-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Cocciaretto E.
3-66-46-3
Jovic I.[18]
Badosa P.
6-26-1
R128
Tomljanovic A.
Waltert S.
6-36-4
Siegemund L.
Marcinko P.
6-46-4
Putintseva Y.
Tjen J.
3-66-36-4
Gibson T.
Bejlek S.
6-16-0
Mcnally C.
Masarova R.
6-27-5
Cocciaretto E.
Semenistaja D.
6-46-1
Tagger L.
Seidel E.
6-786-47-5
Jones E.
Fruhvirtova L.
3-67-637-64
Cirstea S.
Zhang S.
6-36-4
Jones F.
Williams V.
7-57-5
Sonmez Z.
Haddad Maia B.
6-36-2
Stearns P.
Golubic V.
7-666-4
Li A.
Birrell K.
6-22-66-3
Townsend T.
Sun L.
7-656-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Lys E.
6-16-4
Jacquemot E.
Vidmanova D.
6-757-57-5
Linette M.
Gracheva V.
2-66-26-0
Badosa P.
Sasnovich A.
7-56-3
Kalieva E.
Galfi D.
6-36-757-65
Boulter K.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-696-4
Baptiste H.
Maria T.
7-56-2
Kessler M.
Frech M.
2-66-46-2
Yastremska D.
Krueger A.
2-66-47-5
Blinkova A.
Kenin S.
3-66-16-3
Selekhmeteva O.
Arango E.
6-34-66-3
Ruse E.
Ruzic A.
7-57-63
Rakhimova K.
Sierra S.
6-16-3
Parks A.
Kraus S.
7-57-64
Valentova T.
Volynets K.
6-26-4
Zakharova A.
Bondar A.
5-76-36-1
Osorio C.
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Stephens S.
Brady J.
6-46-2