Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann LiCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#29WTA
1807ELO
1746Hard ELO
$718kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWW
Sabalenka A.
7-5 2-6 6-4
Li A.
Sabalenka A.
7262
Li A.
5641

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Ann Li 7-5 2-6 6-4 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's semi-final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka closed it out in three sets, 7–5 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiR64hardAryna Sabalenka7-6(5) 6-4
2021-02-08Australian OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Li A.

Li A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Li A.
96
Serve
47
39
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
76
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
83
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
2.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 161 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0+456 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1746
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1807
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.4
Surface form
2.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
5.8
Country comfort
6.2
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
96

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Li A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw