Elina Svitolina vs Eva Lys — Berlin Round of 16
Svitolina E.
Elina Svitolina faces Eva Lys in the Berlin round of 16 on grass. Elina Svitolina holds the paper edge — ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 220-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Svitolina E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Elina Svitolina 25 games in 14 days, Eva Lys 0.
- Serve & return: Elina Svitolina leads on Serve Rating (58), Eva Lys on Return Rating (74).
- Last match: Elina Svitolina advanced when Anna Kalinskaya retired.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSvitolina E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Lys E.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Stuttgart | R16 | clay | Elina Svitolina | 6-1 6-0 |