Eva Lys vs Katie BoulterTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · WTA · Round of 32
#76WTA
1791ELO
1770Hard ELO
24 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#60WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Lys E.
6-2 6-1
Boulter K.
Lys E.
662
Boulter K.
210

Eva Lys defeated Katie Boulter 6-2 6-1 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Katie Boulter came in ranked #60, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Lys E.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Boulter K.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Lys E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Lys E.Boulter K.
11
Serve
21
81
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 59). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
87
Break points saved·Dominant
57
86
Break points won·Even
95
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
66
94
Tiebreaks·
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1770
Surface ELO
5.3+25 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1791
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1831
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
4.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
98

Lys E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Boulter K.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%