Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Eala — Berlin Quarter-final
PHIWC
Svitolina E.
Elina Svitolina faces Alexandra Eala in the Berlin quarter-final on grass. Elina Svitolina holds the paper edge — ranked #8, a roughly 40-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Svitolina E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Elina Svitolina comes in with 2 days of rest and 12 games in 14d, vs Alexandra Eala's 1 and 152.
- Serve & return: Elina Svitolina brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 58), Alexandra Eala the stronger return game (Return Rating 68).
- Last match: Elina Svitolina dropped just 5 games past Eva Lys.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSvitolina E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d) · Eala A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
4th on STEFFI GRAF STADION · not before Not before 5:30 PM · 3 matches still to finish ahead
- 1Pegula J. v Keys M.
- 2Noskova L. v Badosa P.
- 3Sabalenka A. v Bartunkova N.
- 4Svitolina E. v Eala A.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.