Elise Mertens vs Elina SvitolinaWimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32
#27WTA
1894ELO
1750Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
grass
#8WTA
2070ELO
1859Grass ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Mertens E.
6-1 7-6
Svitolina E.
Mertens E.
6772
Svitolina E.
1640

Elise Mertens defeated Elina Svitolina 6-1 7-6 in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Elina Svitolina came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending last year's quarter-final, but Elise Mertens had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 5 on grass. Elise Mertens narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

  • Match story: Elise Mertens came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

35
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-22Bad HomburgR32grassElina Svitolina7-5 6-4
2024-04-01CharlestonR16clayElise Mertens6-4 6-1
2023-07-03WimbledonR64grassElina Svitolina6-1 1-6 6-1
2021-01-31Gippsland TrophyQFhardElise Mertens6-3 5-7 [10-6]
2019-08-12CincinnatiR32hardElina Svitolina6-4 6-1
2018-08-06MontrealQFhardElina Svitolina7-5 6-3
2018-01-15Australian OpenQFhardElise Mertens6-4 6-0
2017-04-24IstanbulFclayElina Svitolina6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
80
90
Break points saved·Even
90
93
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1750
Surface ELO
5.6+109 Grass Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 2070
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.0
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
7.7
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.3
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
98

Mertens E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw

R128
Tomova V.
Jabeur O.
7-652-0
Sasnovich A.[15]
Gracheva V.
6-46-757-68
Volynets K.[5]
Maria T.
3-67-646-1
Kudermetova V.
Zhu L.[30]
6-36-2
Krueger A.
Stojsavljevic M.
6-36-2
Shnaider D.[15]
Uchijima M.[8]
7-656-3
Bronzetti L.[20]
Teichmann J.[24]
6-47-5
Lamens S.[27]
Jovic I.[16]
6-16-1
Tauson C.[24]
Watson H.
2-66-46-3
Galfi D.[10]
Dart H.
3-66-37-5
Swiatek I.[3]
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[5]
Sherif M.[21]
6-36-3
Bouzkova M.[21]
Sun L.[9]
6-46-4
Krejcikova B.[17]
Eala A.[29]
3-66-26-1
Paolini J.[13]
Sevastova A.
2-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Bondar A.
6-36-1
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Stojanovic N.
6-37-64
Cocciaretto E.
Pegula J.[4]
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-0
Navarro E.[23]
Kvitova P.
6-36-1
Raducanu E.[30]
Xu M.
6-36-3
Yastremska D.
Gauff C.[7]
7-636-1
Erjavec V.
Kostyuk M.[12]
3-66-36-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Avanesyan E.
6-26-1
Keys M.[26]
Ruse E.
6-747-57-5
Noskova L.[9]
Pera B.
6-26-4
Osaka N.[14]
Gibson T.
6-47-64
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.[5]
7-54-66-1
Fernandez L.[22]
Klugman H.
6-16-3
Sakkari M.
Blinkova A.
6-46-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Seidel E.
6-33-2
Mboko V.
Frech M.[25]
6-36-2
Mcnally C.
Burrage J.
6-36-1
Danilovic O.
Zhang S.
6-26-4
Rakhimova K.
Ito A.
5-76-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Jones F.
1-66-36-1
Kasatkina D.[16]
Arango E.
7-56-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Branstine C.
6-17-5
Dolehide C.
Rus A.
6-26-2
Zakharova A.
Azarenka V.
6-22-66-1
Samsonova L.[19]
Joint M.
6-36-2
Sierra S.
Gadecki O.
6-27-68
Vondrousova M.
Kessler M.[32]
6-17-63
Mertens E.[25]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-46-2
Li A.[28]
Golubic V.
6-34-66-1
Boulter K.
Badosa P.[9]
6-23-66-4
Bucsa C.
Todoni A.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[31]
Birrell K.
6-06-4
Siegemund L.
Stearns P.
6-46-2
Lys E.
Yuan Y.[17]
6-45-76-2
Haddad Maia B.[21]
Sramkova R.[16]
7-676-4
Zarazua R.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-3
Parry D.
Martic P.
4-66-36-2
Kartal S.
Ostapenko J.[20]
7-52-66-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Tomljanovic A.
4-66-36-2
Baptiste H.
Cirstea S.[17]
6-706-16-2
Wang X.
Muchova K.[10]
7-56-2
Sonmez Z.
Cristian J.
7-636-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Hon P.
6-27-5
Jacquemot E.
Linette M.[27]
6-776-16-4
Bencic B.[11]
Parks A.
6-06-3
Collins D.
Osorio C.
6-36-2
Begu I.
Juvan K.
7-661-66-3
Kenin S.[28]
Townsend T.
7-656-2