Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola BartunkovaUS Open Round of 32

US Open · WTA · Round of 32
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.6MYTD
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 5 September 2026 ·
hard
Stadium 17 · 2nd on
#34WTA
1788ELO
1719Hard ELO
$767kYTD
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWL
Andreeva M.
6-2 7-6
Bartunkova N.
Andreeva M.
6772
Bartunkova N.
2650

Mirra Andreeva defeated Nikola Bartunkova in the Round of 32 at the US Open. Andreeva won the match 6-2, 7-6. In the match, Andreeva hit 2 aces and 4 double faults, while Bartunkova hit 3 aces and 6 double faults; Andreeva converted 50% of her break points and broke serve 4 times, compared to Bartunkova's 2 service breaks and 100% conversion on break points.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
72
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
76
Break points won·Slight edge
100
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
75
Tiebreaks·
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Andreeva M.81%
Bartunkova N.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Andreeva M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+274 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1719
8.6Overall Elo 2074
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1788
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.88 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
67
71

Andreeva M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Bartunkova N.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw