Nikola Bartunkova vs Amanda AnisimovaToronto Round of 32

Toronto · WTA · Round of 32
#42WTA
1788ELO
1719Hard ELO
$767kYTD
$973kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
#10WTA
1914ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWW
Bartunkova N.
6-3 0-6 4-6
Anisimova A.
Bartunkova N.
6041
Anisimova A.
3662

Amanda Anisimova defeated Nikola Bartunkova in the Round of 32 of the Toronto tournament on hard courts, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-0, 6-4. Anisimova hit 0 aces and 7 double faults, while converting 70% of her break points and winning 56% of her first-serve points. Bartunkova had 1 ace and 3 double faults, converting 56% of her break points and winning 45% of her first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
84
Break points won·Slight edge
90
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
96
Tiebreaks·
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Bartunkova N.28%
Anisimova A.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Anisimova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1719
Surface ELO
7.0+160 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1788
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1914
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
77

Bartunkova N.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Anisimova A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw