Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka — WTA Finals Semi-final
Iga Swiatek defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-3 6-2 in the WTA Finals semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #2, defending last year's final. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 6–5.
Key context
- Match story: Iga Swiatek dropped just 5 games past Aryna Sabalenka.
How the match was decided
Auto-generatedSwiatek I. took it in straight sets.
Common opponents
21 shared · last 12 monthsSwiatek I. and Sabalenka A. faced 21 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Swiatek I. went 30–8 (79%) against them, Sabalenka A. 21–11 (66%). Results against comparable opponents are close (7 : 4 better-results split).
30–879%Swiatek I. · better vs 7Record vs common opponents21–1166%Sabalenka A. · better vs 4
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
63–21Sets47–28
458–279Games395–332
6–4Tiebreaks7–5
5–4Deciding sets6–5
vs Rybakina E.#1L2-6 2-6Indian Wells · hardL6-7 4-6Indian Wells · hard
vs Pegula J.#3W6-1 6-0Cancun Finals · hardL4-6 3-6Cancun Finals · hard- vs Gauff C.#4L6-7 6-3 4-6Cincinnati · hardL6-2 3-6 2-6US Open · hard
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vs Svitolina E.#7L5-7 7-6 2-6Wimbledon · grassW6-4 6-4Roland Garros · clay
vs Muchova K.#8W6-2 5-7 6-4Roland Garros · clayL6-7 7-6 5-7Roland Garros · clay
vs Bencic B.#12W6-3 7-6United Cup · hardW7-5 6-2Australian Open · hard
vs Cirstea S.#16W6-2 6-3Indian Wells · hardL4-6 4-6Miami · hard
vs Alexandrova E.#27W6-4 6-7 6-3Madrid · clayW6-4 6-0Wimbledon · grass
vs Ostapenko J.#32L6-3 3-6 1-6US Open · hardW2-6 6-1 6-1Dubai · hard- vs Samsonova L.#37W6-1 6-0Dubai · hardW7-6 7-6Adelaide 1 · hard
- vs Krejcikova B.#44L4-6 2-6Dubai · hardL6-0 6-7 1-6Dubai · hard
vs Zheng Q.#52W3-6 6-1 6-1Cincinnati · hardW6-1 6-4US Open · hard
vs Osorio C.#64W6-2 6-3Australian Open · hardW6-4 7-5Madrid · clay
vs Linette M.#74W6-1 6-1Beijing · hardW7-6 6-2Australian Open · hard- vs Blinkova A.#86W6-3 6-2Bad Homburg · grassW6-2 6-3Wimbledon · grass
vs Gracheva V.#155W6-4 6-1Beijing · hardW2-6 7-5 6-2Wimbledon · grass- vs Kudermetova V.#438W6-1 6-1Madrid · clayL2-6 6-7Berlin · grass
- vs Vondrousova M.#657W7-6 6-1Cincinnati · hardW6-3 7-5Adelaide 1 · hard
- vs Garcia C.#784W6-7 7-6 6-1Beijing · hardL6-7(4) 4-6WTA Finals · hard
vs Jabeur O.W6-1 6-2Cancun Finals · hardW7-5 6-3Cincinnati · hard- vs Noskova L.#6Hard to compareW6-1 6-4Warsaw · clayW6-3 7-6Adelaide 1 · hard
Head-to-head
11 meetings · Swiatek I. leads 6–565
Hard: level 4–4 · Clay: Swiatek I. leads 2–1
- Swiatek I.November 2023WTA FinalsThis matchHard6-3 6-2
- Swiatek I.October 2023Cancun FinalsHard6-3 6-2
- Sabalenka A.April 2023MadridClay6-3 3-6 6-3
- Sabalenka A.November 2022WTA FinalsHard6-2 2-6 6-1
- Sabalenka A.October 2022Fort Worth FinalsHard6-2 2-6 6-1
Closing odds
Next up
Player context
Before the matchSwiatek I.Sabalenka A.2 161ELO2 3202 037Hard ELO2 2458–2Last 108–222Age25176 cmHeight182 cmRightPlaysRightCareer $47.3M2026 $3.6MEarningsCareer $50.4M2026 $5.2M