Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaAdelaide 1 Final

Adelaide 1 · WTA · Final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#12WTA
1976ELO
1913Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$5.9MCAREER
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Sabalenka A.
6-3 7-6
Noskova L.
Sabalenka A.
6772
Noskova L.
3640

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Linda Noskova 6-3 7-6 in the Adelaide 1 final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Noskova L.

Noskova L.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Noskova L.
96
Serve
66
39
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
5.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 175). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
88
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
3.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 98 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.9+289 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1913
8.6Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1976
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
60

Sabalenka A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Noskova L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 101 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast